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Summary A recovery in China's economy this year looks certain, but the nature and speed of that recovery remain in doubt. After a slow start, we believe the economy could pick up in the summer, but there is a risk that the economy will start to overheat by year-end. Although economi...
Summary For a fourth consecutive month, the S&P Global Market Intelligence forecast of 2023 global economic growth has been revised upward. Global consumer price inflation eased from a peak of 8.3% year on year (y/y) in September 2022 to an estimated 7.5% in January. The global ...
Summary Uncertainty abounds in many key global macroeconomic drivers. However, some of this uncertainty, global growth and geopolitics in particular, may provide a strong tailwind for EM debt. All key global macroeconomic drivers are maximally uncertain – rates, FX, duration, IG ...
Summary If we seek an economy that can thrive indefinitely, we must invest in and dramatically scale up the means of production that put an end to the causes of these risks. The entrenchment of the asset management industry in favoring the legacy economy is significant. There are at...
Summary Improving domestic fundamentals and global outlook paint a brighter picture for China. Geopolitical tensions remain at the top of investors’ concerns. US-China trade data show resilience against a long-deteriorating relationship. We see potential opportunities in ...
Summary The latest round of economic data (retail sales, CPI, PPI, jobless claims) are all signaling more Fed rate hikes are coming. A quiet week for the UK with the early part bringing PMIs from the services and manufacturing sectors and the latter BoE appearances. This week’...
Summary Stocks have posted solid gains since they started to recover from last year’s painful crash. Policy trends that drive currency moves and macroeconomic growth differ around the world. Disciplined stock selection can help investors achieve effective global diversificati...
Summary In 2020, the European Commission introduced the principle into the sustainable finance regulatory framework including for climate indexes, as labelled ‘Paris-aligned’ or ‘climate transition’ benchmarks (PABs and CTBs). A prominent approach suggested i...
Summary While global green bond markets saw a notable slowdown - particularly in Europe and the United States because of rising interest rate and geopolitical conflicts, China’s onshore green bond market sustained its momentum in 2022. Despite reaching the $2 trillion milestone i...
Summary Inflation is in fact receding, for the same basket of reasons it went up - not math, but markets. Specifically, the market of money (interest rates), the market of goods (supply chains), and the market of labor (employment). Plus, an unexpected chaser: the disruptive potential o...