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2023-07-25 11:15:00 ET Summary Market momentum dominated headlines in the United States in Q2, largely driven by mega-cap technology amid enthusiasm around AI. While US outperformance was narrowly led by a handful of stocks, performance outside the US was broader, particularly in ...
2023-07-25 02:30:00 ET Summary Normally, a weak dollar fuels commodity price inflation, but deflationary forces are keeping commodities in check. Russia announced last week that it is pulling out of the international agreement that allows Ukraine to export much of its Black Sea gr...
2023-07-23 09:15:00 ET Summary Despite resilient U.S. growth, the foundations have been laid for a short and shallow recession later this year. Notably, as a U.S. recession will likely be short and shallow, any equity pullback will likely be short and shallow. The following recove...
2023-07-22 05:40:00 ET Summary We’ve been anticipating a recession for some time, but I believe the US economy is too strong to experience one this year. Core inflation has been stubbornly high, but I expect it to fall as the impact of flattening home prices makes its way i...
2023-07-21 22:31:00 ET Summary According to S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data, output growth across emerging economies excluding mainland China recorded its strongest quarterly average for 12 years in the second quarter of 2023. Monetary policy makers in emerging markets were ...
2023-07-21 21:20:00 ET Summary The Fed is going to raise rates on Wednesday and seems poised to be noncommittal with what they will do in September. Last week, China’s top policymakers announced a slew of broad-based plans to boost consumer spending and support for private ...
2023-07-19 22:50:00 ET Summary The Sovereign Debt Wave is at a historic peak and appears set to continue growing. With higher inflation and reduced liquidity, some countries will be able to continue to issue debt easily, while some will not. Franklin Templeton Institute’...
2023-07-18 09:35:00 ET Summary The Consumer Price Index rose just 0.2% in June - and only 3% in the past 12 months - very close to the Fed’s 2% goal. Producer Price Index provided even better news, as it rose only 0.1% in June, the slowest rate in almost three years. Treasu...
2023-07-17 13:50:00 ET Summary While the market is focused on reported inflation, consumers are not. The current large-cap, growth leadership is unlikely to lead competitive investors much longer. We have been in a “bear market” with rallies for almost 2 years. T...
2023-07-14 21:14:00 ET Summary On Monday, the US ISM manufacturing report will show activity is slowing down, with the headline reading expected to fall back into contraction territory. The Russian central bank is expected to hike the key rate by 50 basis points on Friday, taking ...