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Summary Higher interest rates are having an impact on Job Openings and Quits, both viewed as psychological indicators rather than economic indicators. Real Retail Sales remain steady which is a ‘hard count’ economic indicator. Retail sales may even have an up-tick in...
Summary Is an earnings recession on the horizon? Why investors should consider quality companies in a high-rate environment. Why some companies may not survive a potential recession. Central banks have been aggressively hiking rates in an effort to cool infla...
Summary Equity market volatility persisted in the third quarter as investors came to terms with a new reality of high inflation and rising interest rates. For most of this year, equity markets have violently traded on this unholy trinity of rising inflation, rate hikes and growth ...
Summary Institute for Supply Management’s composite services index decreased to 56.7% in September, falling 0.2 points from 56.9% in the prior month. Among the key components of the services composite index, the business activity index fell 1.8 points to 59. The latest ...
Summary The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services is published monthly by the Bureau of Economic Analysis; reports include revisions that go back several months. This report details U.S. exports and imports of goods and services. The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bu...
Summary The Bureau of Economic Analysis weighed in on the discussion yet again last week with the release of the Third Estimate for Q2 2022 real GDP. According to the BEA, GDI is defined as a measure of the incomes earned and the costs incurred in the production of gross domestic ...
Summary The slowdown in US economic growth has yet to reach a tipping point that marks the start of recession. The availability of published data to date provides only a partial profile for August and September. The economic updates over the coming weeks will be critical for d...
Summary The dollar has not only surged but also supplanted U.S. Treasuries as the most effective hedge against equity drawdowns. Record stimulus, both monetary and fiscal, had created a robust recovery and, along with disruptions to global supply chains, the seeds for future infla...
Summary We can always find an unimportant market blowing up somewhere, but as long as the funding markets are not touched, the effects on the real economy will be limited. Based on what I have seen publicly discussed, I see nothing that says that we are in any worse state than pre...
Summary We began September on Crash Watch but ended the month on Crash Warning. Though much has changed since October began, the warning remains until further notice. To be clear, this warning applies to the U.S. and global equity markets. The move to a Warning last week was relat...
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NEW YORK , Aug. 22, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Krane Funds Advisors, LLC, ("KraneShares"), a global asset management firm known for its China-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and innovative China investment strategies, announced the launch of the Krane Platform, a central hub for Krane's gr...