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Summary Recession foretold in developed markets (DM), a pause in central bank rate hikes and China’s reopening help shape 2023 and reinforce our tactical views. European equities led DM stocks higher. Surprisingly weak U.S. services data spurred bets for Federal Reserve rate cuts...
Summary Avoiding growth last year paid enormous dividends, but I didn’t predict that growth stocks would fall in 2022, just that I couldn’t own them and fulfill our fiduciary duty. Near-term stock market performance is negatively correlated with economic growth. Commod...
Summary Friday, January 6th’s better-than-expected average hourly earnings in the December ’22 jobs report and the sharp contraction in Services ISM sure put a bid under stocks and bonds. Despite the strong economic data Thursday, TLT actually finished higher on the day. ...
Summary Global business activity fell for a fifth consecutive month in December, with the rate of decline moderating slightly amid improved supply conditions but still rounding off the worst quarter since 2009 barring lockdown months. At 48.2 in December, the Global PMI - compiled by S&...
Summary Relative to developed markets, emerging markets responded quicker to inflation, remain in better shape financially, and benefit from higher commodity prices. Notwithstanding China’s more recent policy direction, emerging markets, in general, have moved much more quickly t...
Summary We expect COVID-19 to continue its transition to a global endemic and the status quo to prevail in Russia's war in Ukraine, with no material implications for the global economy. Mild recessions are forecast in the United States and Europe, but resilience in Asia Pacific will pre...
Summary Most global economists feel that any recovery in China could be more U-shaped than V-shaped. The 2022 Chinese economy can best be described as a spluttering car engine. China’s official purchasing managers’ index (PMI) showed factory activity shrank for the thi...
Summary The upsides to falling demand and spare capacity were fewer supply constraints and a further marked moderation of price pressures. While Japan's factory output downturn likewise moderated slightly, it remained among the sharpest witnessed over the past decade. Future output ...
Summary ASEAN manufacturers continued to experience a slowdown at the end of 2022, with December's PMI data indicating the softest output expansion in 15 months. One unsurprising development with the slowing of demand for manufactured goods had been the abating of price pressures, which...
Summary We expect 2023 to be a year of transition, with gradual fading of price pressures allowing policymakers and market participants to take a more balanced approach to assessing growth and inflation dynamics. The near-term outlook calls for more of the same: high inflation and rate ...
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2024-07-12 19:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 22:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 10:47:04 ET BTC iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) FXI is trading DOWN for the last 4 days, and it at trading at $26.91 with volume of 24,135,754 and a one day change of $-0.41 (-1.48%). BTC iShares China Large-Cap ETF has a 52-week low of 20.86 and a 52-week high of $30.5...