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Summary Jackson Hole reset expectations to focus more on inflation. The U.S. dollar should stabilize over the medium-term amid hawkishness from other central banks and slowing economic data. At stake is Europe’s ability to refill their storage tanks ahead of winter. ...
Summary We believe that cash flow and debt sustainability are likely to become increasingly important as real economic growth slows and credit access tightens. Cash flow provides a link between a company’s income statement and their balance sheet. Focusing on the Russel...
Summary Consumer Staples is one of only three market sectors in the green during the 2022 bear market (the other two being the Energy & Utilities sectors). While a 4% return over the past year is rather unspectacular, its reason to celebrate given the S&P 500 is down 9% an...
To date, 151 of the 204 companies in our Retail/Restaurant Index have reported their earnings results for Q2 2022, representing 74% of the index. The blended revenue growth estimate for the 204 companies in this index is 9.0% for Q2 2022. July’s monthly retail sales came in...
Total nominal retail sales and food-services spending were unchanged in July, following an 0.8 percent increase in June. Real core retail sales posted a solid 0.4 percent rise in July, after declining less than 0.1 percent in June. Overall, nominal total and core retail sales rema...
The Refinitiv/Ipsos Consumer Confidence Index has declined this year in the wake of continued inflationary pressure, rising interest rates, and global uncertainty. The Refinitiv U.S. Retail and Restaurant Q2 earnings index, which tracks changes in the growth rate of earnings within th...
KXI has been very resilient in price, but if a recession hits hard, the same security might not present itself in the fundamentals of the portfolio companies. Downtrading is a real risk for consumer staples investors. Consumer staples offer opportunities to get exposure to inferio...
Persistently elevated rates of price increases and an intensifying Fed tightening cycle are impacting economic activity. Real final sales to private domestic purchasers have shown greater resilience. Initial claims remain at a very low level by historical comparison, but a clear u...
The inflation surge has dominated the narrative for equity investors in 2022. Computer chip shortages, COVID shutdowns, and the war in Ukraine have combined to create broad supply chain bottlenecks that limited automotive production globally. In this environment, investors in US e...
On the heels of a surprise 50-basis-point increase in the ECB’s target rate the FOMC will likely make good on another 75-basis-point increase in its target federal funds range. Governor Waller stated that he favored another 75-basis-point increase, as has St Louis Fed President...
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2024-07-12 19:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 22:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-22 08:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...