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2023-03-17 02:05:00 ET Summary Institutional asset managers use the copper–gold ratio as one of the 10-year Treasury yield’s leading indicators. Copper and gold are both dollar-denominated commodities that exhibit negative correlations with the currency. Daily da...
2023-03-16 23:56:00 ET Summary This week’s chart of the week shows how the standard credit cycle operates and the way the borrowing booms and busts across time. Credit risk isn’t just creeping up on us. It punched everyone in the face this week. And it is likely to g...
2023-03-16 23:29:00 ET Summary The recent disarray in the banking system appears to have caused fundamental changes to the near-term course of the economy. The expected recession is now more likely and will probably occur sooner. As the economy slows sooner, inflation may move...
2023-03-16 12:00:00 ET Summary Credit Suisse trouble spark concerns about the global financial sector. Why fixed income might be worth a closer look amid financial sector turmoil. Why there's a flight to quality and safety as banking concerns rattle markets. ...
2023-03-16 09:53:08 ET Summary Interest rates have risen quite a bit over the past year, and the Federal Reserve looks set to continue that trend to combat inflation. Already, however, we are seeing significant signs that inflation is dying down, with some of the decline not havin...
2023-03-16 05:55:00 ET Summary The more seriously the ECB takes financial stability worries, the better the chance of a stabilisation in yields. Much depends on sentiment towards banks. We discuss a number of steps the ECB can take. By Antoine Bouvet , Pa...
2023-03-16 05:30:00 ET Summary The Fed finally broke something. Prudence would argue for a less-hawkish stance on the part of the Fed. We’ve been this way before. scared/panicky, but it is not the end of the world. So, now what? Preamble I composed...
2023-03-16 05:05:00 ET Summary Over the past week, investors have had to digest U.S. banking failures and the threatened collapse of a major European bank. This stress has finally underscored the tensions between global central banks’ efforts to tame inflation and growing c...
2023-03-16 01:17:00 ET Summary The biggest story of 2023 is not a function of if the Fed will pause and then pivot to rate cuts. Instead, it's a matter of when will this shift take place. The inversion of the yield curve is a perfect predictor of an upcoming recession, but the inv...
2023-03-15 22:25:00 ET Summary The failure of Silicon Valley Bank, along with Silvergate Bank and the Signature Bank of New York, has created what is possibly an inflection point in the bond markets. The effect on the fixed-income markets has been nothing short of astonishing. ...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...