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2023-03-20 11:15:00 ET Summary Now that their interest rate policy is starting to cause things to break, the Fed can continue to raise interest rates and watch the systemic risk to the system increase or cut interest rates and watch inflation explode. I expect them to raise rates ...
2023-03-20 10:45:00 ET Summary More financial cracks from rapid rate hikes are emerging. We stay underweight equities, downgrade credit and prefer short-term government bonds for income. Bank troubles on both sides of the Atlantic hit the sector's shares last week. Short-term bond...
2023-03-20 10:22:00 ET Summary What we saw last week in the Treasury market and particularly on Friday was fear – large-scale fear by individuals and companies with big uninsured deposits in certain banks. In the Treasury market, there was huge demand that pushed up prices ...
2023-03-19 08:21:00 ET Summary The first thing we should emphasize is that the Silicon Valley Bank saga is not, as far as any of the evidence to date suggests, the tip of an iceberg of systemic risk throughout the banking system. Credit Suisse is plugged into the global financial ...
2023-03-19 05:47:00 ET Summary As expected, the sudden failure of SVB rattled global capital markets. Over the past week, investors dramatically changed their expectations of future Fed actions. It remains to be seen how badly the overall economy will be damaged by recent even...
2023-03-18 09:44:00 ET Summary Just over a week ago, a materially more hawkish narrative from FED Chair Powell at his Congressional Testimony had convinced financial markets that the Fed could revert to a 50 basis point hike in March. However, a wild week of volatility marked by t...
2023-03-18 08:21:00 ET Summary Could the consensus view of a 'no recession' scenario be wrong? As portfolio managers, this is the question we ask ourselves daily. What happened with SVB is a result of tighter monetary policy extracting liquidity from the banking system. While ...
2023-03-17 17:11:00 ET Summary While the most prudent course of action may be to pause and digest the fallout from regional banking woes, Fed is focused on inflation and will look to hike 25bp if conditions allow. With both higher borrowing costs and reduced access to credit set t...
2023-03-17 04:45:00 ET Summary Before this week, many had been surprised by the lack of financial stress arising from this tightening cycle, given its speed and size. Many view SVB's failure as the first sign of systemic risk arising from the Fed’s monetary tightening. ...
2023-03-17 02:05:00 ET Summary Institutional asset managers use the copper–gold ratio as one of the 10-year Treasury yield’s leading indicators. Copper and gold are both dollar-denominated commodities that exhibit negative correlations with the currency. Daily da...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...