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2023-03-22 02:50:00 ET Summary Both the leading indicators of growth and liquidity continue to suggest growth will slow as 2023 progresses. The housing market and the inventory cycle in particular are still material headwinds to growth, while we are still unlikely to have fully fe...
2023-03-22 02:30:00 ET Summary Early signs of economic unravelling are starting to appear. The Federal corporation that insures bank deposits is woefully underfunded. The Federal Reserve is under pressure to pivot away from its inflation control efforts. Warren Buffe...
2023-03-21 23:49:00 ET Summary Consumer price index release spurred significant interest rate volatility, both during the subsequent trading day after its release as well as over the following week. Higher rates provide for a more volatile interest rate environment. As inflati...
2023-03-21 11:38:00 ET Summary Plunging Treasury yields are calming financial markets, but they also indicate that the Fed doesn’t need to raise rates higher to match market rates. The banking contagion risk has spread to Europe, where all eyes are now on Credit Suisse afte...
2023-03-21 10:32:00 ET Summary With about $500 billion in outflows from the smaller banks, if one were to estimate the total value of all emergency facilities from the Fed and other agencies – even though that number is changing by the day – one can say that the Fed tigh...
2023-03-21 08:45:00 ET Summary Contained contagion risk would allow the ECB to resume its hawkish forward guidance. Things are more complicated for the Fed, as hikes are seen as a key part of regional banks’ problems. Were market conditions to remain calm until the Fed ...
2023-03-21 02:30:00 ET Summary Inflation flares up and interest rates rise, reducing the value of the municipal bonds and funding dries up. Despite all the turmoil in the banking sector, US stocks managed to post a gain last week but it was entirely due to the rise in technology a...
2023-03-20 15:15:00 ET Summary SVB collapse, consequences, and implications for technology. Role of productivity improvement in addressing inflation. What we learned from industrial tech earnings - identifying focus areas within our macro framework. The collapse of t...
2023-03-20 14:39:00 ET Summary Banking stresses may have tightened conditions enough for policymakers to pause their hiking cycles indefinitely. Inflation started to decline even as economic data seemed to get stronger and stronger. These are signs that the economy and financi...
2023-03-20 11:15:00 ET Summary Now that their interest rate policy is starting to cause things to break, the Fed can continue to raise interest rates and watch the systemic risk to the system increase or cut interest rates and watch inflation explode. I expect them to raise rates ...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...