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2023-05-25 14:10:00 ET Summary A US default likely won't happen. But it still could. Any imminent default would be on one of the four bills that mature between 1 to 13 June. Even if we get close to a default, rating downgrades are probable. An actual default, and it's a multi-notc...
2023-05-25 12:30:00 ET Summary The contrast could hardly be more striking. Fitch Ratings put the AAA credit rating for US debt on watch for a downgrade. Treasury yields will remain a crucial real-time measure of how the market is pricing in debt ceiling risk. The con...
2023-05-25 08:01:00 ET Summary On Sunday night, President Joe Biden returned from the G-7 Summit, Speaker Kevin McCarthy and Biden connected, and by Monday morning talks resumed. We could see market turbulence in the coming days as the details are hammered out and the X-date draws...
2023-05-24 10:07:00 ET Summary Corporate bonds offer better opportunities than government bonds, in our view, as central banks wind down their monetary tightening cycles. The health of regional banks and the debt ceiling are concerns, but we see selective opportunities in the bank...
2023-05-23 10:30:00 ET Summary Speaking at a conference last week, Powell explained that the credit crunch of late was doing some of the heavy lifting with taming inflation. Powell’s comments, for some observers, strengthened the view that the Fed is set to pause its rate h...
2023-05-23 06:30:00 ET Summary The latest figures show a Treasury General Account balance of only US$57B, which probably means that the government will run out of money within the next three weeks unless a deal is done to raise or suspend the debt ceiling. Given the lack of fear r...
2023-05-23 01:00:00 ET Summary The Fed funds rate is currently set in a target range of 5.0 to 5.25 percent, following the most recent rate hike announced earlier this month. Meanwhile, conditions in the equity market have been unusually placid. A report from Bloomberg News on May...
2023-05-22 20:06:00 ET Summary A default would be catastrophic, according to numerous news articles I’ve read recently. We haven’t seen a lot of market reaction to the debate, but you wouldn’t know that from the media reaction. The 10-year Treasury yield a...
2023-05-22 02:10:00 ET Summary With mega-cap tech / growth up 25.95% this year), the semiconductor group is being pulled higher with it, despite the memory-related names still being in a tough downcycle. Inflation data has heated up (or at least not cooled down enough to the Fed...
2023-05-20 08:26:00 ET Summary Investor risk aversion peaked at the end of last year. Headline consumer prices and government bond yields peaked in June and October of 2022, respectively. The US currency and broader financial conditions have eased in the same time frame. ...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...