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2023-06-14 21:45:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve leaves US interest rates unchanged but signals more hikes are on the cards with some hawkish projections for the economy. July is a 'live' meeting, according to Powell, but a one-meeting pause makes little sense given the long lag...
2023-06-14 12:15:00 ET Summary A hawkish hold need not be market-moving for dollar rates, and a lot of financial tightening is still in the pipeline. What’s more important is the tone and language used by Chair Powell, where a hawkish tilt should prevent yields from seeing ...
2023-06-14 06:40:00 ET Summary The pandemic may be over, but the aftershocks it created are still with us and have caused persistence in inflation. We believe the factors driving recent higher inflation reports are now receding, and we expect disinflation to resume this summer. ...
2023-06-14 04:57:00 ET Summary Commentary from Federal Reserve speakers had suggested that it would take a meaningful upside inflation surprise to convince them to hike at their June FOMC meeting on Wednesday. Annual core CPI (which excludes food and energy prices) eased from 5.5%...
2023-06-14 04:41:00 ET Summary Monetary policy in 2023 is akin to 2010 and 2019, two recent years, where similar policy shifts occurred. After the latest CPI inflation data that was printed on Tuesday, it appears highly unlikely that the Fed will hike the fed funds rate another 25...
2023-06-13 15:30:00 ET Summary Inflation continues to fall, with CPI dropping from 4.96% to 4.13% on a YOY basis, increasing the probability of a Fed pause from 77% to 94%. The real rate of interest has turned positive, and the Fed is expected to pause and perhaps raise rates one ...
2023-06-13 13:04:00 ET Summary May’s US CPI at 4% - the lowest since March 2021 - has increased the prospects of a Fed pause tomorrow; a July hike remains possible. The good news for consumers (but not corporate profits) is that recessions are typically disinflationary and ...
2023-06-13 12:10:00 ET Summary Last week was a momentous one, as the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada both decided to hike rates after enacting conditional pauses. These hikes were important because central banks’ policy decisions can prove infectious, convi...
2023-06-13 05:30:00 ET Summary The annual Russell Reconstitution has caused many small-cap stocks to surge, and institutional buying pressure is anticipated to filter down from the eight largest NASDAQ companies that have been hogging most of the money. Rising crude oil output in ...
2023-06-12 21:54:00 ET Summary Interest-rate volatility on shorter-duration assets is running near historical highs, even as rate changes begin to level off. Interest-rate volatility typically coincides with strong fixed income returns. However, elevated volatility can be a signal...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...