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2023-08-17 08:45:00 ET Summary Key levels were hit on the US curve on Tuesday, within spitting distance of last October's yield highs. The issue here for risk assets is how to interpret the notion of a soft landing. There is still an upside for market rates to come, especially...
2023-08-16 21:10:00 ET Summary For much of the year the bond market has been embracing expectations that the Federal Reserve’s interest rates increases have peaked, or were about to peak. Inflation has continued to ease, but the market has continually discovered that the fu...
2023-08-16 04:45:00 ET Summary For an investment to be risk-free, you have to feel certain about the return you will make on it. A government, when it borrows or issues bonds in its local currency, preserves the option to print more money when that debt comes due, and thus should ...
2023-08-15 22:51:00 ET Summary In 2022, bonds had the most significant drawdown since 1788 due to the massive surge of economic growth and inflation caused by more than $5 trillion in Federal interventions. Since the future return of any bond, on the date of purchase, is calculabl...
2023-08-14 21:56:00 ET Summary Headline CPI peaked in June 2022 at 9% and steadily declined through June 2023 to 3%. Monthly net new jobs data is quite volatile. With the pandemic rebound largely over, jobs growth is slowing, although still quite robust by pre-pandemic standards. ...
2023-08-14 21:36:00 ET Summary More signs that U.S. inflation is easing. Federal Reserve likely to hold on rates in September. Pockets of weakness appearing in economy. U.S. consumer prices ticked higher in July, but by less than analysts expected. MoneyTalk’...
2023-08-14 20:25:00 ET Summary The 10 year Treasury yield has been in an uptrend since the summer of 2021 which is obvious to anyone who can see. The 10 year TIPS yield today is consistent with the rates that prevailed prior to the 2008 crisis and I think that means that we are fi...
2023-08-14 15:36:00 ET Summary While this is no time to be making major calls on asset allocation, in our view, there are abundant opportunities for generating incremental returns. Initially, each month of divergence increased our concern about market levels, especially as investo...
2023-08-11 13:26:00 ET Summary Recent economic data is a little bit of a mixed bag, with some cracks showing in the foundation for the economy, but still an economy that’s resilient. For those that think that the recent market price action is a reason that the economy won...
2023-08-10 01:45:00 ET Summary Recession? Soft Landing? Getting a read on where the US economy is headed hasn’t been easy. We believe that the supply and demand sides of the economy meet at the labor market. And it, though strong by historical standards, has started to soft...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...