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2024-02-06 00:20:00 ET Summary Bond yields didn't move all that much but what move there was, was down. People sold stocks and bought bonds because the odds of a rate cut in March fell during the press conference. The Fed doesn't know if inflation has peaked or whether this is...
2024-02-04 02:12:00 ET Summary Instead of pivoting directly toward an easing bias, the Federal Open Market Committee opted for a wait-and-watch approach in January. Zillow’s observed rents are up 27% since January 2021, while PCE tenant and owner-occupied rent levels are up...
2024-02-03 08:45:00 ET Summary The employment data (released on Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics) was as you’d expect from an economy that is growing at a good pace. The acceleration can be seen in the three-month moving average, which irons out some of the month-to...
2024-02-03 05:47:00 ET Summary The major US indices continued to melt higher in January, with the Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and S&P 500 all making gains. The incremental strength in equity markets was set against a backdrop of a resilient, growing US economy. T...
2024-02-02 19:52:00 ET Summary Why a Fed rate cut may be pushed to the second quarter. The conditions needed for the Fed to cut rates. The outlook for bonds as traders re-evaluate the Fed's next move. The U.S. Federal Reserve has signaled an interest rate cut may not...
2024-02-02 10:42:00 ET Summary January payrolls surged 353k versus 185k consensus. The blowout jobs report - payrolls surging, wages jumping, unemployment falling - means the Fed will be in no hurry to cut interest rates. Nevertheless, the report contradicts lots of evidence e...
2024-02-02 07:27:00 ET Summary The US data continues to refuse to convincingly break one way or another. This will leave members of the Federal Reserve unconvinced there is enough evidence to justify cutting interest rates as soon as March. The US manufacturing ISM index was stron...
2024-02-01 14:52:00 ET Summary How does the outperforming US economy play into the Fed's strategy? What is the bond market telling us about when rate cuts may start? How many rate cuts do you see in 2024? The Federal Reserve held its key interest rate steady for a fo...
2024-02-01 10:30:00 ET Summary The Fed has kept rates steady for its past three meetings, and Wednesday followed that trend. In my view, the Fed announcement is attempting to keep a lid on easing financial conditions while admitting that progress has been made on disinflation. ...
2024-01-31 20:44:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve has left monetary policy unchanged and while it removed its tightening bias, it doesn’t seem to be in a hurry to cut interest rates. We still think May is the more likely start point for policy easing rather than March, eve...
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2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-24 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...