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2023-03-31 06:30:00 ET Summary Slower growth and tighter financial conditions could mean a lower terminal rate and bring forward the timing of the first rate cut. While front-end yields have declined in recent weeks, they are still near multi-decade highs and may remain here as in...
2023-03-31 03:30:00 ET Summary Pricing the damage: Financial cracks and economic damage are emerging from the fastest rate hiking cycle since the 1980s. What matters: how much damage is in the price and our assessment of market risk sentiment. Rethinking bonds: We see higher yield...
2023-03-28 21:59:00 ET Summary The global economy is in a moderate slowdown, with financial markets being whipsawed by tensions in the banking sectors of the US and Europe in the final weeks of the quarter. Thus far in 2023, global equity markets have proven to be resilient in the...
2023-03-26 05:16:00 ET Summary The regulatory intervention of Silicon Valley Bank stopped corporate and financial sector issuance altogether for four working days. The most notable sign of market resilience was a highly successful USD1.8 billion 10 and 31-year sale by Republic of ...
2023-03-21 17:51:00 ET Summary For most of the last two years, the dollar steadily strengthened against most major currencies with little interruption. While higher rates extinguished risk appetite for investors and sent the dollar soaring, emerging market equities continued their...
2023-03-20 10:45:00 ET Summary More financial cracks from rapid rate hikes are emerging. We stay underweight equities, downgrade credit and prefer short-term government bonds for income. Bank troubles on both sides of the Atlantic hit the sector's shares last week. Short-term bond...
2023-03-17 03:40:00 ET Summary The market gyrations are not rooted in a banking crisis, but in financial cracks from rapid rate hikes. We expect central banks to take actions to shore up the financial system – but to keep hiking rates. We see opportunities in short-term...
2023-03-13 11:20:00 ET Summary Stocks are starting to reflect the economic damage from higher rates - and we see more hikes due to sticky inflation. But expected earnings still look rosy to us. U.S. stocks fell over 4% last week and erased most of their gains for the year, partly ...
2023-03-09 05:45:00 ET Summary Investors in emerging markets (EM) have endured a decade of poor performance. Most EM currencies are relatively cheap today. Attractively valued currencies create favorable conditions for EM countries and companies to overcome the challenges amid...
2023-03-08 01:26:00 ET Summary Higher US bond yields and interest-rate expectations have a negative impact on long duration assets, including technology companies. Selected companies in India and Hong Kong which are perceived to have below-average corporate governance have come un...