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2023-03-17 04:30:00 ET Summary The Q4 2022 blended earnings growth estimate now stands at -21.5%. For Q4 2022, eight out of the 11 consumer-related industries have turned negative. Retailers are reporting earnings and are warning us not to expect too much from them for the cur...
2023-03-15 22:12:00 ET Summary Retail sales in February dipped 0.4% from the huge spike in January, to $698 billion. So is this tiny dip in February off the huge spike in January a sign that consumers are tapped out? Consumers are still spending like drunken sailors, especiall...
Summary To date, 103 of the 201 companies in our Retail/Restaurant Index have reported their EPS results for Q4 2022, representing 51% of the index. All eyes are on Walmart and Home Depot as they kick off Q4 retail earnings season. Walmart’s e-commerce is expected to grow a r...
Summary Larger surprises were in vehicle and restaurant sales as economic activity continues to exit the COVID era. Unexpected and significant retail sales gains occurred in vehicle sales and restaurants. Past economies have expanded at much higher rates. Real Retail Sales...
Summary Economists were expecting a sharp recovery in US retail spending in January, but the actual number blew past even the most optimistic forecast. The strength in retail spending and payrolls in January conflicts with a variety of broad business-cycle indicators that reflect a weak...
Summary The first month of 2023 (and the last month of the retail industry’s Q4 2022) saw America’s largest party supply store file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, a move that the StarMine credit models had predicted about a year ago. According to StarMine, Bed Bath & Beyon...
Summary The latest December U.S. retail sales surprised observers as the headline index shows sales were weaker than already-weak expectations for December. On a month-over-month basis, many categories struggled across the board. Shoppers spent less on vehicles, gasoline and furniture. ...
Summary Economists were expecting a decline, but the 1.1% slide in retail spending in December was deeper than expected. Real spending in annual terms tends to be a more reliable measure of business-cycle risk. Other business cycle indicators are also signaling economic activity tha...
Summary Not seasonally adjusted, and despite the price drops, total retail sales and ecommerce sales hit records. In December, retail sales fell 1.1% from November, while prices of nondurable goods (dominated by food and gasoline) dropped 1.2%. Prices of durable goods (new and used ...
Summary In this post, we provide our key assumptions and outlook for 2023. We are relatively more optimistic than most, as we believe that we are already in the mid-late innings of this downturn. We believe that stabilizing interest rates will provide a base for valuations and expec...
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2024-07-13 13:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-23 17:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-22 12:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...