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The I.M.F.’s latest update estimates 2022 global economic growth will be 17% lower than in 2021. The Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast began August above 6% and is now tracking at 1.3%. Only when valuations have collapsed back below long-term means and laboured there long enough ...
Global equities rose through most of the third quarter but gave up most of their gains in a volatile September. As the forces driving stock returns rapidly change in our COVID-scarred world, we believe active managers can help investors effectively navigate the recovery’s uncer...
Global Private Equity is in the lead, up 19.7% after its 2020 gain of 12.5%. Emerging Markets are the laggard with a YTD gain of just 1.5%. Commodities have come on strong this year after losing -7.8% last year. US REITs have rebounded strongly from last year's -4.7% decline. High...
New ETF is designed to provide investors with capital-efficient duration exposure while simultaneously seeking to amplify yield curve efficiencies in the middle of the curve Simplify Asset Management (“Simplify”) , an innovative provider of options-based Ex...
New fund is designed as a standalone hedge that can help protect equity-dominated portfolios against significant market drawdowns Simplify Asset Management (“Simplify”) , an innovative provider of options-based Exchange Traded Funds (“ETFs”), ...
The U.S. Treasury is preparing for coupon cuts, but the impact on private supply will be nuanced. Without significant coupon cuts, the percent of debt outstanding in T-Bills will fall well below the Treasury recommended 15% to 20%. The actions of the Federal Reserve’s Asset...
My reading of the current environment is relatively clear; both the longer term and shorter-term leading growth indicators are pointing toward the heightened possibility of slowing cyclical growth. As a result, these downward trends suggest investors ought to be rotating out of the re...
Since bonds are loans to borrowers, a bond’s interest rate is tied to the prevailing rate environment at the time of issuance. Historically speaking, from the time yield curves begin to invert, the span to the next recession runs roughly 9-months. However, note that yield curve...
Several readers and subscribers have asked for coverage on interest rate hedges in general, and PFIX in particular. PFIX is an aggressive, leveraged interest rate hedge ETF. An overview and analysis of the fund follows. For further details see: PFIX: Leveraged Interest R...
US inflation continued to soar in May, with the Core Consumer Price Index up 0.7% month over month and 3.8% year over year. Fears around rising rates center on the rapidly recovering US economy, which will soon require tapering of purchases in the US Federal Reserve’s quantitat...
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2024-07-23 20:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-23 21:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-13 22:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...