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Record low real yields across the world betray an exceptional degree of macro angst. Or do they? Don’t look at rates in isolation. Other markets are fine. The tide of central bank purchases lifts all boats, and normal liquidity conditions will only return at the end of the ...
USTs maintain the global lead for outright yields. EUR curve dynamics have decoupled amid EU supply and a steady drumbeat of dovish comments from the ECB to ensure a calm summer. Country CPI data bears upside risks today, but nothing that the ECB wouldn't look through. For f...
Things aren’t getting better globally in terms of controlling the virus. Recent economic data has shown signs of the damage being wrought by the rise in COVID-19 infections. I expect markets to continue to move in expectations of a robust recovery later in 2021 when vaccine...
During the fourth quarter, our base case for emerging markets (EM) was the following: we saw favorable economics, questionable politics, and an exciting digital disruption theme that swept across emerging markets countries around the world. Emerging markets have traditionally underper...
Hungary and Poland have been blocking the EU's seven-year budget and its post-crisis recovery for weeks, stopping nearly €2T from reaching member states, but the bloc may soon be moving on without them.At issue: Payouts from the budget would be suspended to a country if a weighted majo...
Tensions over stimulus are not only playing out in the U.S. The EU's economic recovery package, which includes €750B in jointly-backed debt and a €1.07T common EU budget, is in trouble due to differences between member states over democratic standards."We observe with concern th...
By Petr Krpata , Chief EMEA FX and IR Strategist et al. As Covid-19 spreads across Europe causing more and more countries to take extraordinary measures, Central and Eastern Europe is no exception. Following some big market and central bank moves, our CEE specialists have updated our...
Editors' Note: This is the transcript version of the podcast we published last week . We hope you find it useful. Sign up for Let's Talk ETFs on the podcast platform of your choice to make sure you don't miss an episode: Apple Podcasts Spotify Google Play Stitche...
Back in August, the Polish zloty had been seeing continued downside against the greenback. More specifically, I made the argument that I expected this trend to continue due to an increasingly risk-off environment that does not favour emerging market currencies. That said, we have seen a si...
Today, September 26, 2019, we've reassembled our Brexit panel and have prepared an updated roundtable Q&A. These freshly updated views are available to PRO+ Subscribers here. Given so many twists and turns in the Brexit proceedings over the past 3 years, Seeking Alpha has surveyed ...
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VanEck, one of the largest providers of exchange traded funds (“ETFs”) in the U.S. and worldwide with approximately $47.8 billion in assets under management as of January 31, 2019, announced today that it plans to close and liquidate three VanEck Vectors ETFs. On March 4, 2...