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All expansions end at some point An old phrase is that economic expansions don't die of old age. Something happens to bring them to an end. Perhaps, as last time it's the spillover from the collapse of a speculative bubble. Or more normally, inflation rears its ugly head and the Fed stamps o...
After dropping to close at its lowest point of 2020 the week before on fears of the disruptive economic impact of China's coronavirus outbreak, the S&P 500 (Index: SPX ) performed a U-turn in the first week of February 2020, setting two new all-time record highs for the index during the...
The strong return achieved by the S&P 500 Index in 2019, up 31.5%, occurred in an environment where earnings growth was nearly flat, i.e., up 1.7%. This flat rate of growth in earnings was below analyst expectations at the beginning of 2019. At that time, I/B/E/S data from Refinitiv projec...
The U.S. Census Bureau has released its data on the value of trade between the U.S. and China for December 2019 , completing its 35th year of monthly reporting on those statistics. The data is the first to be reported since the U.S. and China arrived at their "Phase 1" trade agreement, under ...
As equities have rebounded from coronavirus fears in the past week, reaching fresh all-time highs, sentiment has not shared in the gains, as it continues to hold a slight bearish bias. AAII 's reading on bullish sentiment rose slightly from 31.98% last week to 33.87% this week. While higher...
Lately, I have been focusing quite a lot on the transformation that is taking place in the US economy and how these changes might be resulting in slower, measured growth while the nation is bustling ahead benefiting greatly in terms of job creation and economic welfare. Please note such post...
"Meh". If you wanted to use a single word to describe the metadata for dividends being paid in the U.S. stock market in January 2020, " meh " wouldn't be a bad choice, as the month was neither really good nor really bad, but for lack of a better word, it was "meh" all over. On the good side,...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index was steady in January after edging higher in recent months. Tuesday's revised estimate leaves GMI's long-term ex ante return at an annualized 5.0% (before factoring in a "risk-free" rate). GMI's current projection matches last month's 5....
Yes, it's boring but... We'd all rather like to be in a sustainable boom, and GDP rising at 2.1% isn't that. But then again, nor is it an unsustainable boom which the Fed has to bring to a shuddering halt through significant interest rate rises. Our investment point here is that we're not ...
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NEW YORK , Aug. 28, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Direxion continually reviews its product range to ensure it's meeting the needs of our clients. Based upon a recent review, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has decided to liquidate and close 15 ETFs (each, a "Fund" and c...