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Key Economic Releases and Events The week ended on a more anxious note after all the optimism a week earlier, when investors were lauding the decelerating new coronavirus cases. There's still optimism that the corner has been turned, but now it's the corporate side that's spooking investors....
Who says there is no recession anywhere in sight? It depends on where you are looking. In short, manufacturing remains in recession; corporate profits remain in recession; freight remains deep in recession; Carmageddon remains in recession; and the Retail Apocalypse remains a recessi...
This past week saw a couple of interesting developments. On Wednesday, the Fed released the minutes from their January meeting with comments which largely bypassed overly bullish investors. "… several participants observed that equity, corporate debt, and CRE valuations wer...
There's a renewed danger of recession this year, and to explain why it's worth revisiting the recent past. I have argued that we normally would have had a recession last year, but a nimble Fed was able to adjust policy in time to prevent the recession and create America's first expansion of mo...
Risk and Leverage Since I’ll be discussing leveraged applications, I’m going to begin with some sobering data regarding risk. The thrust of this article is how to mitigate that risk to manageable levels, while pursuing outsized returns. But first, let’s look at the risk....
The Fed January Minutes As always, the Fed’s when the Fed’s FOMC meeting minutes are released, there’s always a few items of interest besides the minute parsing of phrasing. For example, in the just-released January minutes, this nugget: Some market participants sugge...
One sentiment indicator is flashing "yes." Is relentless optimism the same thing as irrational exuberance? You have to ask yourself that question when you regard equity market charts nowadays. The S&P 500 has been on a tear recently, fueled by short-covering rallies in early February a...
The global economy has slowed down, the ability to offset the impact of negative political risk is lower, and that's the environment in which the risks we see for 2020 and 2021 are concerning, Maziar Minovi, CEO of Eurasia Group, told Real Vision’s The Interview. Minovi said th...
Our statistical task The reason we ramble through various economic statistics is that we're trying to work out when - if - the economy hits a turning point. We know, after all, that we've not abolished the business cycle. We also know we're still in the longest modern day expansion of the Am...
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NEW YORK , Aug. 28, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Direxion continually reviews its product range to ensure it's meeting the needs of our clients. Based upon a recent review, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has decided to liquidate and close 15 ETFs (each, a "Fund" and c...