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Russ highlights the surprising resilience of technology stocks this year. The last time I wrote about technology stocks , the world looked very different. In mid-February, the market was at an all-time high, unemployment was at a 50-year low and investors were starting to contemplate a Sa...
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The S&P 500 is tracking along the lower end of the redzone forecast range of the alternative futures chart, which assumes investors are looking forward toward 2020-Q4 in setting today's stock prices, and which we suspect also indicates that investors are somewhat backing off the expectatio...
Main Thesis and Background The purpose of this article is to give a broad overview of my take on the current state of the equity market in the U.S. right now, to decide if initiating new long positions makes sense. When 2020 got underway, I was cautiously optimistic on stocks in general. I e...
Believe it or not, the S&P 500 ( SPY ) is not too far from all-time highs. The COVID-19 crisis caught everyone by surprise, unleashing the sharpest and fastest bear attack in history. Now, the market seems to be getting over it, as the broad stock index is about to reach the 3,000-point ma...
Here are the best things I read and thought about today - "Have the record number of investors in the stock market lost their minds ?" asks The New Yorker , given how investors appear persuaded that the markets are headed for a "V"-shaped recovery even as history suggests a more complica...
Longer is better for analyzing the stock market, which is why Professor Robert Shiller's data set (with an 1871 starting date) is one of the great free resources on the internet for studying the history of US equities. With that in mind, let's review how the current drawdown for the S&P ...
By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist Weekly Market Compass: A massive policy response has helped bolster stocks against the economic impact of COVID-19, but another tariff war could threaten markets. In the last several weeks, stocks have exhibited weakness and higher v...
About 40 years ago, I read an article about stock market cycles. It didn't seem credible to me then. After studying them intently the last three months, cycles look like one of the missing pieces of the puzzle. They appear to explain my biggest investing mistake and to be another arrow in the ...
Why has the S&P 500's amplification factor turned negative after more than a decade of being virtually constant? It didn't happen all at once. It has happened in stages , coinciding with significant changes in the Federal Reserve's monetary policies in response to the coronav...
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NEW YORK , Aug. 28, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Direxion continually reviews its product range to ensure it's meeting the needs of our clients. Based upon a recent review, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has decided to liquidate and close 15 ETFs (each, a "Fund" and c...