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Record market highs we are experiencing relate more to capitalization-weighted indices than strength in the average stock composing those indices. Tear apart the numbers, and the results show we have been in a significant downturn in the simple average stock since February 2021. "...
Up until the last decade, negative interest rates were the stuff of abstract theory. Today, the volume of fixed-income securities trading with yields below zero runs to $16.5 trillion, having grown steadily over the past two months with the renewed rally in global bond prices. Expecta...
There are many common myths about the market taken as truth by most investors. Studies show just how poorly investors really understand how the market works. It's time for investors to gain a better understanding of what drives them and the market. For further details see: ...
Inflation is a puzzle, with many believing it derives from economic demand. The one lesson most seem to miss is that inflation does not occur from economic expansion. Economic expansion is disinflationary. The US has been flooded with foreign capital under control of very inexperi...
If you are looking for a snapshot as to why there is so much to this “growth scare” and rising deflationary potential (record stocks, though), outside recent labor market data you’d be hard-pressed to do better than US trade statistics. We can see already the disc...
The past week has been a story of stagflation infecting the US economy while the stock market grimaces as the Fed expresses the need to start a gradual pullout from economic stimulus much sooner or face a rapid pullout a little later. Rapid inflation pounds away at the producer side i...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance totaled 385,000 for the week ending July 31, a drop of 14,000 from the previous week’s revised tally of 399,000. The number of ongoing claims for state unemployment programs totaled 3.259 million for the week ending July 1...
The ISM’s Non-manufacturing PMI rose sharply in July 2021, four big points, up to 64.1 and handily beating estimates. This was in opposition to the slowdown trend which Manufacturing ISM displayed only too well two days ago. Though, the ADP release corroborates the sense of another...
GMI’s 10-year Sharpe ratio (SR) edged up for a fifth straight month to 0.86, the highest since January 2020, based on a rolling ten-year window via monthly data. Profiling GMI through a drawdown lens also reflects an extended stretch of low risk. GMI is useful as a baseline...
The projected risk premium for the Global Market held steady in July at an annualized 6.0%, unchanged from the previous month. Despite the recent bounce, GMI’s trailing 10-year performance remains well below the previous 8%-plus peak. No one really knows what risk premia wi...
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Direxion Closing Four ETFs Closures Due to Limited Interest Since Launch PR Newswire NEW YORK , Aug. 20, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Due to the their inability to attract sufficient investment assets, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has d...