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In January, the bubble indicator showed that the US equity market as a whole was at the edge of a bubble but not in an extreme bubble. The earnings growth discounted in stocks is still a bit high. While the reversal has been significant, discounting of future earnings remains some...
It’s important to note that margin debt may be merely representative of a much larger use of leverage in things like asset-backed loans, call options, futures, leveraged ETFs, total return swaps, etc. The recent peak in the annual rate-of-change in the amount of margin debt out...
Market commentary I have been seeing has had an unusual split: warnings about the collapse of the bond market, as well as imminent recession. The preliminary report for U.S. Q1 real GDP was released last week, which registered an annualised decline of -1.4%. Although there are som...
The JPMorgan Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index™ (PMI™), compiled by S&P Global, fell from 52.9 in March to a 20-month low of 52.2 in April. April also saw global new orders almost stall, registering only a marginal increase which was the smallest since June 20...
Long-term success is rarely achieved without some suffering. The S&P 500 is already off -14% from its highest levels experienced at the beginning of the year. Panic is rarely a profitable strategy, so now is probably not the best time to knee-jerk react to the price declines. ...
I have a lot of suspicion about last Thursday’s report that the U.S. economy contracted by 1.4%. It’s clear the Biden team will do all they can do to turn this negative GDP number into a positive report – fast! The news on the housing front was mixed. The Comm...
The Miller Income Strategy returned -10.08% for Q1 2022. As of the middle of April, the market is telling us the economy is still strong, though the rate of growth is now slowing due to overheating and inflation. Red-hot inflation now looks like it is weighing on growth. There...
Political Calculations' initial estimate of median household income in March 2022 is $75,539, an increase of $740 (or 0.99%) from the initial estimate of $74,799 in February 2022. March 2022's estimated median household income of $75,539 is $286 (or 0.4%) below February 2022's inflati...
Market volatility remains elevated and may be setting the stage for spikes even higher than we have already experienced. The NASDAQ peaked at around 3.1618% of its Covid 2020 high-low range the week of November 21, 2021. Especially in times like these, traders must understand wher...
The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows the total number of job openings in the economy increased to 11.549 million in March, up from 11.344 million in February. The total job openings rate, openings divided by the sum of jobs plus o...
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2024-07-28 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-07 14:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-27 21:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...