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Private payrolls posted a 406,000 gain in April, the 11th in a row and 14th in the last 16 months above 400,000. Gains in recent months have been broad-based. The April jobs report shows total nonfarm and private payrolls posted more strong gains. For further details se...
Recession anxiety continues to roil expectations for the US economy, which inspires a periodic review of financial conditions. The current below-zero value indicates financial conditions that are looser than average. The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Risk Subindex ...
The markets are exceptionally choppy due to the stagflation fears. I think there are a few other elements contributing to the current volatility. There's no solution. Investors just need to carefully monitor their positions and more importantly, "understand" what they own. F...
Since 2008, a key component of Fed policy has been to buy up mortgage-based securities and government debt so as to both prop up asset prices and increase the money supply. Now, after more than a decade of immense growth in the balance sheet, the Fed says that it will start reducing i...
Initial jobless claims have come off of multi-decade lows in the past few weeks, with the most recent print back up to 200K. Continuing claims set a new low in the most recent print, falling below 1.4 million for the first time since February 1970. Claims will likely continue to f...
Stocks faced a deep selloff coming to terms with the fallout from the May FOMC and macro headwinds. While stocks ended sharply lower, the major indexes are still above lows from earlier in the week as an important level of support. We see room to take a bullish position with other...
After a historic low of only 16.4% last week, the percentage of respondents reporting as bullish in the latest AAII sentiment reading rose back up to 26.9%. There was a 6.5 percentage point drop in the share of respondents reporting bearish sentiment, coming in at 52.9%. Neutral s...
Based on the history of agriculture and manufacturing, automation and operating margins are positively correlated. As automation increases, labor’s share of revenue tends to decrease, and as labor share decreases, operating margins tend to increase. History suggests that ce...
The Institute for Supply Management’s composite services index decreased to 57.1% in April, falling 1.2 points from 58.3% in the prior month. Ten industries reported growth in employment while five reported a reduction. The latest report from the Institute of Supply Managem...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance rose 19,000 for the week ending April 30, coming in at 200,000. Despite some volatility, initial claims remain at an extremely low level by historical comparison. Continuing labor shortages, along with materials shortages and...
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2024-07-28 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-07 14:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-27 21:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...