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According to the BLS, the economy added 428k jobs in April. This exactly matched the March number after it was revised down by 3k. On a raw basis, this April was middle of the pack compared to the last 10 years. On an adjusted basis, this is the strongest April over the same time span...
The nature of markets is that they are never quite settled, as investors recalibrate expectations constantly and reset prices. Consumer expectations of inflation reached 5.40% in March 2022, hitting levels not seen since the early 1980s. The inflation genie is out of the bottle, a...
The week ahead is important because it may be the first signs that may be peak inflation is at hand. With the current account report, Japan also reports portfolio capital flows. The MOF publishes weekly figures, but the monthly figures include a country breakdown. China's trade ba...
Thursday the major averages had their worst day since 2020. It was a full-fledged liquidation, nothing was spared. Friday the selloff continued with energy in the green. As Shakespeare would say, the worm has turned. The Fed has turned from dovish to bearish. Further, inflation is out...
It appears as if most reactions to today’s April 2022 payroll were quite positive, maybe enthusiastic when they should not have been. The past couple of months for the Establishment Survey have, predictably, fallen right within that statistically-enforced range, though at the l...
Although most historical recessions were associated with slowdowns in debt growth, it is possible for the economy to contract for other reasons - and such a possibility is a key risk at present. Credit risk being the constraint for debt growth is a problem for most macroeconomic model...
The Global Bubble, several decades in the making, is in the process of bursting. A new cycle is emerging, replete with extraordinary uncertainties. Mainly, nervous markets were comforted by the focus on “financial conditions.” The Fed’s hawkish tightening cycle is...
Key highlights from the April U.S. employment report. Bank of England announces fourth rate hike since December. Rising rates, inflationary fears batter markets. For further details see: Is U.S. Wage Growth Starting To Slow?
Every asset class has been on a rollercoaster ride as investors are watching central bankers all around globe tighten monetary policy to fight inflation. The focus for the upcoming week will naturally be a slew of Fed speak and the latest US CPI data which is expected to show inflatio...
Private payrolls posted a 406,000 gain in April, the 11th in a row and 14th in the last 16 months above 400,000. Gains in recent months have been broad-based. The April jobs report shows total nonfarm and private payrolls posted more strong gains. For further details se...
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2024-07-28 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-07 14:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-27 21:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...