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While the S&P 500/SPX is still officially in correction territory, many market-leading stocks are in a deep bear market. High inflation, Fed tightening, and other unfavorable fundamental factors should continue pressuring economic growth. Moreover, decreasing corporate profits...
To avoid losses and participate in “bull markets”, one needs to expect some losses. However, the key is to not lose too much capital, so gains are multiplied. The strategy I use builds up reserves when the prices of what my clients and I own are high compared to perceive...
The market is in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears with very different outlook. One side sees a near-complete correction and soft landing, while the other a bear market and recession. I think last week’s jobs report indicates no recession on the horizon. Strong first...
The Fed is trying to tame inflation without causing a recession. Historically, tightening monetary policy into a period of economic deceleration doesn't go over well. Supply-side constraints, especially in the commodity sector, are set to persist. For further details see: ...
The S&P 500 rose three percent on Wednesday and then promptly fell 3.5 percent on Thursday. It’s not as if anything unexpected happened at the FOMC meeting. The prevailing wisdom was that the Fed would raise rates by 0.5 percent, and that’s what they did. The ...
Last week's spike and crash has been misinterpreted. The move was due to technical factors and not some deeper meaning. Sometimes a cigar is just a cigar. I make a case for the market fully discounting the interest rate adjustment. It's likely Powell's efforts will slow the econom...
This updated article looks at the potential impact of the newly released QT schedule and subsequent market effects of four quantitative easing programs. On March 9th, 2022 the Federal Reserve conducted their final open market purchase effectively ending the Covid QE 4 program started ...
We began to prepare for the current pullback at the end of 2021. The current environment has turned bearish, where even former bulls are now bearish. I believe we will be bottoming soon, and starting our next bullish phase to 5500SPX. For further details see: Sentiment S...
A very brief post-Fed meeting bounce only emboldened the bears as volatility persists. Central banks remain steadfast in tightening financial conditions. The 2022 bond bloodbath continues as economic data suggests threats to growth. For further details see: Weekly S&...
According to the BLS, the economy added 428k jobs in April. This exactly matched the March number after it was revised down by 3k. On a raw basis, this April was middle of the pack compared to the last 10 years. On an adjusted basis, this is the strongest April over the same time span...
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2024-07-28 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-07 14:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-27 21:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...