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Sentiment on the part of small businesses held firm in April instead of the further decline that was expected. The headline index came in unchanged at 93.2, versus estimates of a 0.3-point decline to 92.9. The percentage of respondents reporting inflation as their firm’s bi...
The market depth has been reduced - that's the liquidity shock. Forced selling during the liquidity shock creates a buying opportunity. The peak Fed hawkishness could trigger the rally - but it must be supported with the peak inflation. For further details see: S&P 5...
After surging in February, the growth rate of U.S. exports to China slowed to single digits in March 2022. The year-over-year growth of U.S. imports from China also slowed, but not as much as U.S. exports did. But none of that takes China's new COVID lockdowns in its largest trade...
The National Federation of Independent Businesses (NFIB) reported no change in the Small Business Optimism Index for April, remaining at 93.2. In the report for April, small business owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months decreased to a net negative 50%, ...
US small business optimism held steady in April after three consecutive falls. Nonetheless, businesses retain the ability to pass higher costs onto their customers, and this will keep inflation sticky. Ongoing supply chain issues and rising fuel costs mean 2% inflation is a distan...
What is sell in May and go away? What is different between May 1950 and May 2022? Flagging growth, high inflation, and higher interest rates point to down a market. For further details see: Sell In May And Go Away? Yes This Year, No Last 6 Years
Bear markets tend to last much less time than bull markets. Since the stock market is the major fuel for the economy, when stocks get clobbered for a long enough period, the economy follows. Higher interest rates could reduce the contribution to US GDP by as much as nearly 30%. ...
We slightly reduce risk on a worsening macro outlook. We upgrade European government bonds and investment grade credit, and downgrade Chinese assets. The Fed raised rates by 0.5% last week - the largest increase since 2000 - and signaled similar rises ahead. Long-term yields shot up a...
There was a lot of volatility in stocks last week but in the end, the S&P 500 was down a mere 21 basis points. A rising currency is presumably negative for the export sector and positive for domestic purchasing power. On a sector basis, there were several winners last week wit...
While the S&P 500/SPX is still officially in correction territory, many market-leading stocks are in a deep bear market. High inflation, Fed tightening, and other unfavorable fundamental factors should continue pressuring economic growth. Moreover, decreasing corporate profits...
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2024-07-28 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-07 14:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-27 21:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...