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Artificially low rates are causing multiple price distortions and pockets of heightened risks. And while the current environment may be unprecedented, it need not be incomprehensible. In this multi-part series, we discuss this environment—and explain why investors who understand the dy...
The projected long-run risk premium for the Global Market Index ((GMI)) rebounded in April after slipping below 4% annualized in the previous month. Today's revised estimate for GMI: 4.3%, which is the index's long-term projection over the "risk-free" rate. Compared with the outlook a year...
Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on May 4, 2020. In a blog post on 31 st March I argued that MMT (Modern Monetary Theory) had been surreptitiously put into practice in the US. However, according to a quote from Lacy Hunt (Hoisington Investment Management) included b...
I have used this title twice in the past and is time to dust it off once again. It is actually a Bull Trap, but I sort of refer to it as a trap set by the Bear. The first time was early 2002 when the S&P rallied to about 1,200 in that bear market, the lows ended up around 800, giving up -3...
I don't play an epidemiologist or biologist on the Internet. But I do understand math. And this weekend, the United States had the deadliest day yet from Coronavirus /COVID-19. We have not "bent the curve." And that's very dangerous as 30 states, some faster than others, begin the reopening...
As earnings go, so will the stock market, and with earnings season now half over, things are not looking good. Earnings estimates for the S&P 500 are dropping quickly, and that is leaving stock at elevated levels and vulnerable to a sharp decline. Earnings Season Is Not Strong Accordin...
There was a lot of frustration from the bears last week as the equity markets, as measured by the S&P 500 ( SPY ) , $282.83 current market price , continued their relentless climb from the post bear market closing low of $222.95 on March 23rd and even reached almost $295 last Wednesd...
The most underrated tool for investors is hindsight. Hindsight as far back as one can go says buy stocks during crashes. We have a actual record dating from the establishment of the 1st stock market, 1602 in Amsterdam. There have been more than 50 major crashes since and many more smaller corr...
The oldest and strongest emotion of mankind is fear, and the oldest and strongest kind of fear is fear of the unknown. –H. P. Lovecraft “Hard times,” hip-hop pioneers Run DMC warned us back in 1984, “are spreading, just like the flu.” Never has this b...
Investment strategies of long duration become habits, and it is difficult to change habits. One should not attempt to change habits or strategies on a whim. A change should be carefully considered. In weighing choices, the factors leading up to a decision are usually mixed. Further, the timing...
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Actively managed funds designed to provide investors and advisors with differentiated tools for accessing income-generating investments. Infrastructure Capital Advisors (“InfraCap”), a leading provider of investment management solutions designed to meet the needs of in...
Actively managed fund is designed to provide investors and advisors with a value-focused, differentiated tool for accessing income-generating small cap equity exposure Infrastructure Capital Advisors (“InfraCap”), a leading provider of investment management solutions d...