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By Joshua Jamner, CFA Not All Regions and Industries Are Impacted by COVID-19 Equally In recent weeks, investors have shifted their focus from how deep a recession might be to what the path of the recovery might look like. While no one can know how the economy and the spread of COVID-19 ...
Original post By Stuart Burns The stock market has had its best month in decades and many are clearly looking forward to May with more optimism than they could in April, but a series of articles in The Economist suggest we are far from the prospect of a return to normal. China we...
Will the market retest lows this summer? In this past weekend's commentary , I discussed the end of the seasonally strong period for the market. "Despite the sell-off on the last day of April, the Best Six Months has ended on a positive note, registering the best month in decades and the ...
Modern economics is a set of formal models and equations purporting to fully determine human behavior, at least in the economic realm. And there is no way that uncertainty can be compressed into determinate mathematical models. – Murray Rothbard This week, we will start to see s...
Editor's note: Seeking Alpha is proud to welcome Daniel J Graeber as a new contributor. It's easy to become a Seeking Alpha contributor and earn money for your best investment ideas. Active contributors also get free access to SA PREMIUM. Click here to find out more » The slow reopeni...
Originally published May 4 There is an old joke which pokes fun at economists that I think applies to the current state of the stock market. It goes something like this... An economist, a chemist, and a physicist are stranded on an island with nothing to eat but a can of beans. The che...
Consumer Confidence The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index crated in April, as expected, from 118.8 to 86.9. The most interesting aspect of this report, as we saw in the University of Michigan survey, is that the Expectations Index remained strong and even increased from 8...
Original Post Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more ...
The U.S. economy in the first quarter of 2020 shrunk by 4.8%, and the second-quarter is expected to be five times worse due to the partial shutdown of the economy. Consumption plunged at a rate never before experienced, according to the newly released data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic An...
Artificially low rates are causing multiple price distortions and pockets of heightened risks. And while the current environment may be unprecedented, it need not be incomprehensible. In this multi-part series, we discuss this environment—and explain why investors who understand the dy...
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