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The Coronavirus (Covid-19) is spreading, and panic is spreading throughout global markets. Unfortunately, it's difficult to know whether this will be a true pandemic or just a panic. We'll know more before too long, but I was encouraged Tuesday morning to read in a Reuters article that ...
Introduction Earlier this week, JPMorgan Chase ( JPM ) CEO Jamie Dimon said that the only financial market bubble out there right now is in sovereign debt . First of all, it's important to note that in spite of this perceived bubble, JPM has increased its holdings in US government bonds...
The U.S. Treasury will offer $14 billion in a new 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security at auction Thursday. This is CUSIP 912828Z37 , and the coupon rate and real yield to maturity will be determined by the auction. I'm not likely to be a buyer, even though 10-year issues are the "...
While many financial "experts" have been declaring U.S. inflation dead for years, it surged back to life in 2019 - rising 2.3%, the highest number since 2011. While 2.3% isn't scary-high, it is on the high end of moderate inflation. The official number for U.S. inflation is the Consumer Pric...
Note: This article is a co-production between The Macro Teller ("TMT"), moderator of Macro Trading Factory ("MTF"), and The Fortune Teller ("TFT"), moderator of Wheel of Fortune ("WoF"). Summary It's not easy to be super optimistic about the stock market ( SPY , DIA , QQQ , IWM ) at...
After underperforming for two consecutive quarters, TIPS posted a small gain of 0.5% in the 2019 fourth quarter, significantly outperforming comparable maturity straight Treasurys, which posted a decline of 1.4%. That performance mirrored the trend in the equity markets, which bounced back f...
What do you expect to be the key driver of stock market performance over the course of 2020? I believe the world debt crisis will finally "break the bank" in the foreseeable future. It's amazing that per capita world debt has surged above $200,000 (I wrote about this in SA last year). Worl...
Investment-grade corporate bonds had a stellar year, rising more than 17% throughout 2019, based on the total return of Corporate Bond ETF ( LQD ). Investment-grade corporate bonds certainly have a spot in a balanced portfolio, in addition to less risky Treasury bonds. Historically, when ec...
You Can't Fight the Central Banks "Let me issue and control a nation's money and I care not who writes the laws." - Mayer Amschel Rothschild When I was growing up in Kansas City, Missouri I often heard the expression that "You can't fight City Hall." This comment was based upon the o...
So, you want to fade the reflation narrative? Or maybe you don't, I have no idea. What I do know is that headed into 2020, many Wall Street year-ahead outlook pieces have coalesced around the view that some 70 rate cuts across the globe are set to manifest themselves in better economic out...
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2024-07-24 11:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-14 13:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...