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Risk-adjusted performance for the Global Market Index (GMI) continued to tick higher in May. GMI’s Sharpe ratio — a measure of risk-adjusted return – rose to 0.82 on a trailing 10-year basis through last month. That’s close to a pandemic high, but still...
Since offshoring contributed to the long-term disinflationary trend, it would seem to make sense that reshoring would contribute to an inflationary trend. The "reshoring will lead to higher inflation" argument revolves around differences in labor costs, which are much higher in the US...
The Global Market Index’s (GMI) expected risk premium held steady at 5.9% annualized in May, matching the previous month’s estimate. The framework for estimating equilibrium returns was initially outlined in a 1974 paper by Professor Bill Sharpe. Keep in mind, too, t...
The major asset classes delivered across-the-board gains for a second month in a row in May. Everything apart from cash was up last month, led by a sizzling rally in foreign inflation-linked government bonds. The FTSE Russell World Inflation Index ex-US surged 4.0% last month, the...
Stocks were up last week with growth leading the way for a change. Small-cap stocks also had a good week and commodities rebounded. Foreign markets also had a good week with even China beating the large cap US index. Copper rebounded smartly, up 4.4% and crude oil was also up over 4%....
This is a truly singular global recession and recovery, and it makes portfolio diversification both vital and challenging. At the moment, the item that tops the agenda for most of our clients is no big surprise: inflation, and what to do about it in portfolios. Inflation is usuall...
Federal reserve minutes and recent comments suggest inflation could rise to 3%. Apart from consumer-led inflation, there is further room for producer prices and commodity prices rise. Inflation expectations are still underpriced, and the US Treasury/TIPS spread implies future infl...
Bitcoin has had two bear markets since mid-April. There was a 27% decline followed by a 27% rally, followed by last week’s rout. From its intraday peak in April to its intraday low last week, bitcoin fell over 53%. Is that the end of the sell-off? Doubts about the post-virus bo...
The Fed minutes this past week hinted toward a QE taper on the horizon. Flash ISM composite indicated the economy may be able to stand on its own. Finally, we give you six stock market predictions for the week ahead. For further details see: 6 Stock Market Predictions Fo...
The near-term outlook for inflation continues to suggest a temporary spike, reflecting an adjustment higher in price levels as the global economy recovers from the effects of the pandemic. In Europe, we expect GDP to normalize to pre-pandemic levels in 2022, with inflation remaining l...
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2024-06-14 13:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-15 12:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...