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2023-04-27 03:11:54 ET Summary The historical record shows U.S. stock market performance following recessions hasn't always been bad. In fact, U.S. stocks have often done quite well soon after the onset of recessions. If the current time period ends up being classified as a re...
2023-04-25 11:41:00 ET Summary The month of April has seen the S&P 500 move within less than a 100-point range during regular sessions, adding only a few points more if one were to include overnight futures trading. It is absurd for the Fed to be hiking interest rates next wee...
2023-04-24 18:54:00 ET Summary Since the beginning of 2022 though, international developed equities have outperformed the S&P 500 Index and over the last 12 months the MSCI EAFE Index return of 4.2% exceeds the S&P 500 Index return that is down -4.3%. Although U.S stocks h...
2023-04-24 14:08:00 ET Summary Yield curves and credit spreads are good indicators but the former aren’t particularly timely and the second can provide a lot of false signals. Interest rates rose last week but the short-term trend for the 10-year Treasury yield is still dow...
2023-04-24 12:47:00 ET Summary Rising fears of recession did little to alter the trajectory of the S&P 500 (SPX) during the third week of April 2023. The index ended the week at 4133.52, down just 0.1% from where it closed the previous week. Earlier in the week, signs tha...
2023-04-24 12:45:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 Net Non-Commercial Futures has become a reliable market sentiment in recent years. The S&P 500 posted a recent low in Oct 2022 and is rising on rising pessimism. Pessimism always presents buying opportunities. The S&...
2023-04-22 00:01:00 ET Summary Since Q1 ’23 earnings started two weeks ago, when quarterly EPS was expected to decline 5%, the expected decline today is -4.7%. Low expectations coming into an earnings quarter typically results in a better chance for upside in the stocks onc...
2023-04-21 16:28:00 ET Summary Yesterday’s release of the Leading Economic Index from the Conference Board appears to settle the matter in favor of recession, but real-time analysis isn’t as clear-cut as this indicator suggests. The consultancy forecasts “econ...
2023-04-20 20:54:13 ET Summary The Fed says we will have a mild recession. Credit conditions are tightening just when the U.S. consumer needs credit the most in a decade. Recessionary trends are hinting at something bigger than mild. The last time the Fed said the recessio...
2023-04-19 11:02:14 ET Summary The long-term primary trend has been bullish since 2009, and remains so. The S&P 500 is bouncing off the bottom of the latest fractal trading-range and is setting up to hit new highs later this year. The very short-term outlook is pointing to...
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2024-04-19 03:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-10 00:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...