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2024-04-12 03:30:00 ET Summary Equity and junk debt markets have once more priced out any possibility of economic weakness. US and Canadian central banks have held base rates in the banking system above 5% - the tightest level in 17 years. Inflation and growth readings have se...
2024-04-11 08:50:00 ET Summary Jeff Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, discusses the updated ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard, which has seen some progress underneath the surface despite not having any indicator changes. If you look at co...
2024-04-11 04:10:00 ET Summary The likelihood of cuts between July and October is slim because the election is too close and the pace of change is slower than can justify cuts by then. We’ve made tremendous progress in the fight against inflation. Headline CPI has come down...
2024-04-11 00:04:00 ET Summary US inflation came in at 0.4% MoM for the third consecutive month, more than double the rate we need to consistently hit to bring inflation down to 2% YoY. Expectations for a June Federal Reserve interest rate cut have collapsed, with the higher for l...
2024-04-10 12:30:00 ET Summary Perceptions change with each new data point and each new comment from central bankers. I believe June is the month to watch. I expect the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of Canada, and the European Central Bank to cut rates in June, and the Bank of Engl...
2024-04-10 01:25:00 ET Summary The Fed will have to keep interest rates high to meet its inflation target but give up on maintaining financial stability, or else it can cut interest rates to stabilize the financial system. The Fed’s predicament stems from the fact that it k...
2024-04-09 06:00:00 ET Summary During the March FOMC meeting, the Committee held its target rate range constant at 5.25-5.5% and released a new Summary of Economic Projections, which reaffirmed that it expected to make three rate cuts in 2024. Since that meeting, it appears that t...
2024-04-09 03:30:00 ET Summary The consensus outlook is still projecting that the Federal Reserve will trim its target interest rate by the end of the year. As economic growth endures and energy prices rise, market sentiment is pricing in fewer cuts. Some analysts are now sayi...
2024-04-09 01:11:00 ET Summary The glories of high-frequency trading were on full display last Thursday as the S&P 500 turned a 1% gain into a 1.2% loss for the day. It was all about the noise - the potential for a good jobs number being bad news for the prospects of a rate cu...
2024-04-08 15:00:00 ET Summary The bond market outlook has improved as expected rate cuts align more closely with the Fed. Easing financial conditions from asset price changes may lead to continued uncertainty around policy restrictiveness, undermining the urgency and need for pol...
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2024-06-24 14:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-14 15:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-02 23:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...