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2023-03-05 09:00:00 ET Summary U.S. equity markets rebounded following their worst week of the year as investors parsed data showing surprising resilience in global economic activity this winter despite stiff interest rate headwinds. Snapping a three-week skid and notching its bes...
Summary For the month of February, the S&P 500 Total Return Index ended down -2.4%. What disrupted the January rally? During the month, we received some affirming data that the economy may be on firmer footing than economists previously thought. But markets are worried that such str...
Summary The National Bureau of Economic Research takes time to define periods of economic expansion and contraction - and they do so in hindsight; equity markets are not trading based on these characterizations. The low degree of difference between the S&P 500 Index and the WisdomTr...
Summary After years of strong returns, 2022 was the worst year for global equities since the 2008 financial crisis. This trend is evident in the recent increase in securities lending activity, the mechanism which enables short selling. In December 2022 alone, the iShares Russell 200...
Summary As economies both in the United States and globally weaken with tighter monetary policies, corporate earnings are coming under greater pressure. Without exception, in the 24 months prior to a recession, large caps outperformed small caps. Higher-quality investments did not m...
The MKM technical analysis team is revisiting its recommendations for small-cap stocks with strong charts. The S&P 600 ( NYSEARCA: SLY ) has treaded water, just slightly outperforming S&P 500 ( SP500 ) ( SPY ), since chief market technician JC O'Hara last issued a smal...
Summary Tightening monetary policy drove rising 10-year Treasury bond yields and pressured equity valuations in 2022. Interest rates will drive the market environment, to some extent, according to our U.S. growth and core equity and U.S. value equity teams. Given the lagged impact, ...
Summary Past episodes of debt ceiling histrionics have resulted in temporary government shutdowns. With both sides seemingly dug in, a repeat of the 2011 episode cannot be ruled out. In 2010, republicans controlled the House and demanded that President Obama negotiate over deficit r...
Summary We have hit the debt limit; we have a problem. How can we put off the problem and make someone else deal with somewhere down the road? Both political parties, in my opinion, don't really want a solution to the "debt" problem; they just want to send it off once again into the...
Summary ClearBridge is a leading global asset manager committed to active management. Research-based stock selection guides our investment approach, with our strategies reflecting the highest-conviction ideas of our portfolio managers. The pro-cyclical tilt of our portfolio helped the S...
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Gold investments are having a great week by any standard and a much better week than equities. The safe haven precious metal could maintain this strength for as long as the Federal Reserve Bank is intent on holding rates at zero. The Fed’s intentions were made public on Wednesday as Chair...