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Personal income rose 0.5 percent in February, according to data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Weak growth for real personal income excluding transfers is a concern for the outlook for real consumer spending. The outlook for the economy has become highly uncertain and extre...
What if China builds, with its e-CYN, a global presence with a lot of trading partners in the world of digital currencies? What if currency markets bifurcated into overlapping systems, one using the dollar and one using the e-CYN? How would this change in the market work out? Woul...
Claims continue to bounce around but have posted declines in seven of the last ten weeks. Weekly initial claims data continue to suggest the labor market remains very tight. Despite some volatility, initial claims have trended lower in recent weeks and remain at an extremely low l...
A confluence of negative factors set U.S. stocks up for a difficult start to 2022. However, we see both a short- and longer-term opportunity taking shape. Intraday market volatility has been dramatic and stock selling has become indiscriminate, as is often the case in big market swing...
Russia’s attack on Ukraine will have lasting and negative effects on the world economy. Within Russia, businesses selling to the domestic market will see foreign sources of products and services as unreliable, leading to local sourcing at higher costs and a lower variety of ava...
This is a presentation of my general theories of market analysis culled from my articles and presentations throughout the years. Clearly, I'm a big believer in market sentiment as a primary driver for market direction. I outline my views in detail in this 3-part series. For ...
Among the most surprising developments of 2021 was the collapse in consumer confidence and sentiment survey results amidst the strong post-pandemic recovery. Confidence peaked in June of last year but is still well above its 2020 recessionary low, as the abundance of job openings and ...
The difference between the Federal Funds rate and CPI is the largest ever. The Fed will have to hike well above the currently expected 2.8% terminal rate. Thus, the next recession is inevitable. For further details see: This Is The Biggest Fed Policy Error In History (An...
Commodities and equities are both showing renewed strength on the heels of global interest rate increases. Inflation shows no sign of abating as energy, metals, food products, and housing continue their upward bias. The SPY has enjoyed a sharp rally back up after touching its Fibonacc...
Job openings may be sky-high, at least in the estimated form, yet so too are quitters. In between, hiring just matches the intentional straight-line course plotted by the BLS from its CES figures. Each continues to point to different things, when the FOMC really should require the...
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2024-01-03 11:45:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...