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With the Federal Reserve embarking on an interest rate hiking cycle to counteract realized inflation, there’re concerns about consumers - particularly those with lower incomes. The Fed characterizes incomes differently, but the data shows that consumer balance sheets coming out...
The final April results from the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers show overall consumer sentiment bounced higher in April after hitting a multiyear low in March. The current economic conditions index rose to 69.4 from 67.2 in March. Economic risks remain elevated due to...
The dollar matters for the larger-cap brethren within the stock market. No one believes the US economy is contracting with the JOLTS survey showing 12 million jobs available and only 6 million unemployed. Financial sector stocks performed horribly in April and especially after Q1 ...
EM debt currently offers value to investors with a medium- to long-term horizon and a willingness to tolerate a period of higher volatility. EM sovereign high-yield spreads are particularly compelling, especially relative to U.S. high-yield debt. Longer term, we believe the outloo...
Expects the bond market volatility to come off the boil a little bit or even better, see a rally in yields. There's a lot already priced into the bond market with respect to central bank interest rate hikes. Michael Craig, Head of Asset Allocation and Derivatives, TD Asset Managem...
As Q1’s third-highest inventory accumulation follows Q4’s record-high accumulation, the fact it was less, if still huge, when compared to the prior three months counts as a reduction to overall GDP. As has been the case since the last recession, spending on goods may be ...
After US median home prices collapsed 40% nationally by 2011, American disposable income growth was able to get ahead of home appreciation for a few years. The median household is now adding about $6400 in new debt per year to meet their obligations. Unfortunately, those who borro...
I expect S&P 500 total returns to be negative, on average, for well over a decade – an outcome I also projected at the 2000 market peak. The most severe market losses tend to emerge when elevated valuations are joined by deterioration and divergence in market internals, sug...
Real gross domestic product fell at a 1.4 percent annualized rate in the first quarter versus a 6.9 percent rate of gain in the fourth quarter. Businesses added to inventory at a $158.7 billion annual rate in the first quarter versus accumulation at a $193.2 billion rate in the first ...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance fell slightly, decreasing 5,000 for the week ending April 23, coming in at 185,000. The number of ongoing claims for state unemployment programs totaled 1.464 million for the week ending April 9, a drop of 102,848 from the prior ...
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2024-01-03 11:45:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...