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April showered the bears with delight as most asset classes endured steep drops. Inflation takes a bit out of yearly returns in both the stock and Treasury markets. Nasdaq stocks have felt the brunt of the selling pressure as many constituents trade sharply off their 52wk high. ...
The world's second-largest economy is being hit by the lockdowns as part of the policy response to the outbreak of Covid. However, the economic impact seems somewhat milder than when the pandemic first arose in Q1 20, and the economy shrank by 10.3% quarter-over-quarter. Chinese e...
On Thursday morning, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that first quarter GDP fell by 1.4 percent (on a quarter-to-quarter, annualized basis). Two consecutive quarters of negative growth may be all that’s required for a group of boffins at the National Bureau of Economic...
New data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis shows that prices continue to rise at breakneck speed (much faster than the Federal Reserve has projected). The surge in prices has caught most households off-guard. Perhaps more surprisingly, it has caught Fed officials off-guard, as well...
The art and science of modeling returns of financial assets is forever unsatisfying because no one model fully captures the true behavior of asset performances. The one-year distribution, in short, tells a very different story from one-day returns, and so the opportunities for this ti...
During a bull market, which is the only market many investors have ever navigated, buying stocks is easy. Selling stocks is the most difficult challenge for any investor. That single decision becomes plagued with a host of emotional biases. When everyone agrees on the direction of...
Beijing prodding may have reversed much of the week’s equities market pain, though I doubt positive sentiment will return anytime soon. China Development Bank CDS jumped 12.5 to 91.5 bps, surpassing the March 2020 crisis spike to a five-year high (began the year at 55bps). ...
U.S. economy contracts by 1.4%, but consumer spending strengthens. Markets react to intensifying U.S. wage pressures. Key takeaways from Q1 earnings season. For further details see: More Than Meets The Eye? Unpacking The First Quarter Decline In U.S. GDP
A blockbuster week in store in financial markets and one that begins with bank holidays across various countries. The standout event next week will naturally be the Federal Reserve monetary policy decision on Wednesday when we’re likely to see the first 50 basis point rate hike...
With the Federal Reserve embarking on an interest rate hiking cycle to counteract realized inflation, there’re concerns about consumers - particularly those with lower incomes. The Fed characterizes incomes differently, but the data shows that consumer balance sheets coming out...
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2024-01-03 11:45:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...