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Initial jobless claims have come off of multi-decade lows in the past few weeks, with the most recent print back up to 200K. Continuing claims set a new low in the most recent print, falling below 1.4 million for the first time since February 1970. Claims will likely continue to f...
Stocks faced a deep selloff coming to terms with the fallout from the May FOMC and macro headwinds. While stocks ended sharply lower, the major indexes are still above lows from earlier in the week as an important level of support. We see room to take a bullish position with other...
After a historic low of only 16.4% last week, the percentage of respondents reporting as bullish in the latest AAII sentiment reading rose back up to 26.9%. There was a 6.5 percentage point drop in the share of respondents reporting bearish sentiment, coming in at 52.9%. Neutral s...
Based on the history of agriculture and manufacturing, automation and operating margins are positively correlated. As automation increases, labor’s share of revenue tends to decrease, and as labor share decreases, operating margins tend to increase. History suggests that ce...
Alamo Group has been seeing record revenues, but margins held profits back to some degree. Supply chain issues, chips shortages, inflation, and other risks create a turbulent environment, as demand is still strong, at least for now. Shares have fallen back quite a bit from last ye...
The Institute for Supply Management’s composite services index decreased to 57.1% in April, falling 1.2 points from 58.3% in the prior month. Ten industries reported growth in employment while five reported a reduction. The latest report from the Institute of Supply Managem...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance rose 19,000 for the week ending April 30, coming in at 200,000. Despite some volatility, initial claims remain at an extremely low level by historical comparison. Continuing labor shortages, along with materials shortages and...
Given the wide gap between current inflation and the current policy rate, the current profile still points to an extended run of relatively sharp and rapid hikes in the months ahead. The persistently strong demand for workers, combined with a labor shortage, is keeping unemployment un...
While the stated hikes were the first major increase since 2000, it was an apt response to the inflationary pressures. More than that, it gave some degree of conviction to the markets. In the bond markets, yields fell, as they had overpaced the Fed’s new plan. The other par...
It’s been a brutal few months for stocks and bonds alike, as markets have been confronted with risks posed by inflation, tightening monetary policy, and the war in Ukraine. Market volatility has lifted bond yields, which can create better long-term investment opportunities and ...
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2024-01-03 11:45:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...