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A falling market, rising interest rates, inflation, and growth worries are all challenging financial markets. To fight inflation, the Fed is tightening financial conditions, threatening to cause a recession and spooking markets in the process. We believe in deploying a truly activ...
Defensive equities and funds work better in theory than in reality because risk assets of all types tend to fall in bear markets. While bonds have also sold off year-to-date on interest hike fears, at least they have mandated capital return dates and interest payments. Buy and hol...
The U.S. exported $179.5 billion worth of goods in March 2022, while importing $297.0 billion. That makes for a monthly trade deficit of $117.5 billion, which is 14.2% larger than the previous record of $102.9 billion set in November 2021. The biggest portion of the U.S.' record March...
The US equity and fixed income markets are facing challenges due to a slowing US economy along with a significant pivot in monetary policy toward a more hawkish stance. Combating inflation has become a priority, and investor focus has shifted toward the uncertain impact of rising inte...
AIER’s Lagging Indicators index was unchanged for the third consecutive month, holding at 83 in April. Real gross domestic product fell at a 1.4 percent annualized rate in the first quarter versus a 6.9 percent rate of gain in the fourth quarter. The median sales price of a...
We're seeing declining asset prices from bond to equities, and in some cases, real assets because of higher inflation. We are seeing early signs that inflation is starting to moderate. Equity market is currently pricing in the probability of a mild recession. For further det...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance rose 1,000 for the week ending May 7, coming in at 203,000. The number of ongoing claims for state unemployment programs totaled 1.403 million for the week ending April 23, a drop of 36,493 from the prior week. Despite some m...
Contrary to popular perception, equities are not necessarily more risky than such supposedly “safe” assets as US Treasuries. While stocks are much more volatile than bonds, this does not preclude bonds from producing awful real (and even nominal) returns for investors ov...
Stolen, plundered, looted, and the list goes on. It is what has happened to our portfolios since the beginning of the year. Bonds, equities, you name it. While the Fed’s policies may well help our rate of inflation, now at 9.75%, averaging the PPI and the CPI, I do not see high...
Upstart, Teladoc, Amazon, Netflix and Etsy are a few of the names that are getting crushed this earnings season. I discuss what's happening in the market. Why you should welcome this gambling parlor, where market participants are ''playing'' with options and margin. Buffett is onc...
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2024-01-03 11:45:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...