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Fifteen years ago, my chart look-ahead was about three years, to 2010, with the basic idea being that these long-term cycles had already turned or were about to turn. I underestimated the status quo's ability to kick the can down the road for a decade. After 15 years of frantic ca...
Bull market winners find sharp downside momentum in recent months as investors shift preferences. Parallels between the current bear market and that of the dot com bust are evident. Changing central bank moves have led to a global equity reassessment. For further details see...
Carvana is the perfect example of the bottom falling out unexpectedly. The US Dollar continues to attract capital from investors all over the world. Recovery time varies significantly depending upon the magnitude of the drawdown. For further details see: Sell And Go To C...
Support was broken at 4,100, which quickly saw the S&P 500 trade down below 3,900. There is some support at that level, but there is a more well-defined support level at 3,700. There are massively oversold conditions in put-call ratios, breadth, and New Highs vs. New Lows, but an ...
Among the most challenging aspects of late has been to try and hold a positive medium-term (one- to three-year) view in the midst of very aggressive, downward-facing, fast-moving, cross-asset selloffs. While inflation does seem to have peaked along with expectations and breakevens, th...
We are due for a big rebound after being down six weeks in a row, as there is clarity on the interest rate front with the Fed committed to 50-basis point hikes - and we are basically oversold. We can always overshoot, but a good target is the downtrend that lies between the 50-day (10...
The overall global economic slowdown, plus China’s Covid lockdowns, are taking a toll. Apple and GE have warned their distributors about production and delivery problems due to China. Another example is falling vehicle sales in April in China for BMW, VW Group, and Tesla. Since...
Stock markets have seen immense volatility this year. The sharply rising inflation, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and central banks raising interest rates are all weighing on equities. With volatility expected to remain high, reducing equity risk can be challenging but achie...
The rising rate, rising dollar environment continues with the dollar index hitting a 20-year high last week. That rising dollar is having an impact on the rest of the global economy but so far it has been manageable. There are a lot of companies out there that have come public over th...
Consumer spending rose by 2.7% in Q1, annual rate, adjusted for raging inflation. Gross private domestic investment rose by 2.3% annualized, following the spectacular spike in Q4. Less-catastrophic imports, thereby a less-catastrophic trade deficit, will reduce the drag on GDP. ...
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2024-01-03 11:45:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...