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One Lipper classification that we can look at to get a pulse of market positioning is the Lipper Dedicated Short-Bias Funds. This classification consists of funds that employ portfolio strategies that consistently create a “net short” exposure to the overall market. ...
The July Jobs Report seemed strong with 528k new non-farm payrolls, but with the labor participation rate not budging, there's something interesting going on. It's easy to become passive about employment because the unemployment rate is very low and job openings are very high. Und...
If all the moving pieces of corporate financial performance could be boiled down to one simple phrase describing the market’s reaction, it would have to be this: Could have been worse. Sales are up, companies are making money and staying ahead of what Wall Street analysts expec...
U.S. crushes expectations, adds 528,000 jobs in July. Bank of England announces largest rate hike since 1995. Q2 earnings season update. On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Chief Investment Strategist Erik Ristuben discussed the U.S. July jobs report, the lat...
Despite the recent slowdown in debt issuance, the Treasury has added more than $1T in debt during the first 7 months of the year. The Fed hiking cycle has brought the weighted average interest rate up from 1.3% to 1.53%. 23bps may not sound like much, but on a $30.6T balance, that com...
The prospect of slower interest rate rises has significant implications for market positioning. Economic growth sensitivity is likely to become increasingly important as recession risks rise. Regime shifts from expansion to contraction can be volatile, which means deviating away f...
When a recession isn't really a recession. How the job market has remained strong, despite economic headwinds. Is an economic soft landing still possible? The U.S. economy has experienced two consecutive quarters of negative growth. Even so, there is doubt about ...
The jobs report today was much stronger than expected. That's causing rates to rise significantly. Today's data likely kills any hopes for a dovish FOMC pivot. Any hopes for a dovish Fed pivot were killed instantly today on the shockingly strong jobs report. In July, the...
U.S. nonfarm payrolls added 528,000 jobs in July, well above the consensus expectation of 250,000, and the biggest gain since February. The labor force participation rate ticked down again, falling 0.1 percentage point in July, to 62.1 percent. The July jobs report shows total non...
The U.S. economy added 528,000 jobs in July, more than double market expectations. Equity market futures dropped, and Treasury rates spiked following the hot NFP data. Next week's CPI will be ever more important in the wake of July's employment data as the Fed may be forced into m...
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