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2024-07-10 03:50:00 ET Summary In our opinion, it’s not the case that the US economy has avoided a recession, but rather that the current cycle has been elongated. We use the commodity/gold ratio (the Spot Commodity Index (GNX) divided by the US$ gold price) to define booms...
2024-07-09 11:00:00 ET Summary Recession risk has risen, but it’s still premature to confidently declare that a downturn has started. Conditions could deteriorate in the weeks ahead, but for the moment, slow/sluggish growth appears to be the odds-on favorite for the near-te...
2024-07-05 13:35:00 ET Summary The U-3 unemployment rate increased to 4.1 percent in June 2024. The Sahm Rule, developed by former Fed economist Claudia Sahm, is designed to identify the start of a recession using changes in the total unemployment rate. If the labor force grow...
2024-06-25 14:50:00 ET Summary The US 10-2yr Treasury yield curve has been inverted (two-year yields higher than ten-year) for 23 months since July 2022. An inversion in this spread has preceded the onset of every recession in the last 50 years by an average of 10 months. Mark...
2024-06-25 10:01:15 ET More on Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares ETF Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares ETF Dividend scorecard for Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares ETF Read the full article on Seeking A...
2024-06-24 18:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 03:13:00 ET Summary Artificial Intelligence is a corporate game changer that will significantly increase corporate margins by automating many costly human labor expenditures. Almost every day now the Magnificent 7 add hundreds of billions of dollars in market cap value....
2024-06-20 00:20:00 ET Summary Last month, for instance, government employment was up 2.7 percent, year over year, while private employment was up on 1.6 percent. Growth in government jobs has been outpacing private employment (year over year) for the past fourteen months. The...
2024-06-11 08:10:00 ET Summary We've been tracking a recession forecast model developed for the Federal Reserve Board by Jonathan Wright in 2006, which utilizes the U.S. Treasury yield curve as an input, while also factoring in the level of the Federal Fund Rate. In following mont...
2024-06-03 03:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
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2024-06-24 18:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-03 03:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-14 05:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...