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2023-04-22 00:01:00 ET Summary Since Q1 ’23 earnings started two weeks ago, when quarterly EPS was expected to decline 5%, the expected decline today is -4.7%. Low expectations coming into an earnings quarter typically results in a better chance for upside in the stocks onc...
2023-04-19 11:02:14 ET Summary The long-term primary trend has been bullish since 2009, and remains so. The S&P 500 is bouncing off the bottom of the latest fractal trading-range and is setting up to hit new highs later this year. The very short-term outlook is pointing to...
2023-04-18 22:27:00 ET Summary The weekly S&P 500 Net Non-Commercial Futures Positions established a new record last week for the length of time of below -200 for this sentiment indicator. This correlated with a rise in the S&P 500 from $3.861.59 ending 3/10/2023 to $4,171...
2023-04-18 13:03:00 ET Summary Discover Financial Services and Tesla feature bullish early earnings date confirmations in advance of what could be a challenging first-quarter reporting period. With S&P 500 earnings estimates continuing to retreat, firm-specific clues can offer...
2023-04-18 09:43:00 ET Summary Changes to the Global Industry Classification Standard adjusted the sector weights in the S&P 500. Sector futures provide a way to manage risk related to the 11 GICS sectors and gain exposure to changes impacting differing sectors of the market. ...
2023-04-18 04:29:00 ET Summary On Friday, the S&P 500 Volatility index (VIX) saw a new 2023 closing low vs. the S&P 500 itself. The last time the VIX got that low there was a drawdown on the S&P 500 from 4195.44 to 3808.86 on the Monday after the SVB failure. Unles...
2023-04-17 16:14:00 ET Summary Better-than-expected inflation reports during the week and an increasingly likelihood of recession are instead raising the prospect the Federal Funds Rate will reach a peak target range of 5.00-5.25% in May 2023. The CME Group's FedWatch Tool estimat...
2023-04-17 06:05:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 is up +8.27% YTD, while expected S&P 500 EPS growth in 2023 is just +0.6%. 2024 expected S&P 500 sector growth rates are looking at healthier EPS growth than the last few years. Of the last 34 years (through 2022) where the S&...
2023-04-14 14:02:00 ET Summary S&P 500 EPS growth for Q1 2023 is set to come in at -6.8%, the lowest rate in nearly 3 years. Themes from Q1 and for CY 2023: inflation, increasing interest rates, possibility of recession, banking crisis, softening employment. The LERI shows...
2023-04-14 01:00:00 ET Summary Although the worst of the crisis may very well be over, you’re going to see this affect the economy through tighter lending standards. Monetary policy notoriously has long and variable lags. Dividend growers usually outperform during the e...