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Summary S&P 500 blended EPS growth for Q4 continues to fall, now expected to come in at -5.3%. Peak earnings season rolls on this week with 1,447 global companies expected to report. Potential surprises this week: PYPL, HLT. Another week, another tick down for Q4 S&...
Summary The trajectory of the S&P 500 shifted downward to close the week at 4,136.48, still up from the previous week's close. The week also saw continued improvement in the expectations for the S&P 500's quarterly dividends per share during 2023. The FedWatch tool anticipat...
Summary Why investors may be missing the big picture in the markets. Equity markets are facing volatility, but opportunities remain. Markets are off to a strong start, but that may fade soon. Equity markets are off to a strong start this year, but those gains are b...
Summary The market action is still confounding most analysts and investors. You may simply be looking at the market through the wrong prism. 4105SPX is the level you need to watch early in the week. When the market was bottoming on October 13 of 2022 at 3500SPX, the member...
Summary The February 2nd, 2023 rally in the corporate high yield asset class was the strongest day of spread narrowing since November ’20. Spread tightening over longer periods of time is a positive underlying condition for both the US stock market and bond markets, as well as th...
Summary We’re in the midst of the fourth quarter earnings season and already we’re seeing a cautionary setup for 2023 as corporations find ways to cut back. In the latter half of 2022 the number of companies announcing dividend decreases began to rise temporarily, before r...
Summary When it comes to the merits of a balanced portfolio, investors may find themselves caught up in the inertia of the masses, with most asset classes suffering negative returns in 2022. While equity and fixed markets have broadly rebounded to start 2023, this does not necessarily m...
Summary The dividend outlook for the S&P 500 in 2023 continued to improve. The dividend outlook in 2023 has continued to improve over the last two weeks. The Federal Funds Rate is also currently projected to top out on or by the conclusion of the Fed's March 2023 meeting. ...
Summary Given price action and market breadth, I’m still leaning positive for the S&P 500 to definitely break the downtrend line in place since January ’22. The PE ratio on the S&P 500 jumped to 18x this week after the weekly 2.5% rally, up from the 17.5x last week...
Summary The Federal Reserve appears to be losing control of the market. Financial conditions have eased dramatically since the December FOMC meeting. The Fed needs to push back against the market before it is too late. It appears that the Federal Reserve is losing control ...