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2024-07-09 14:20:00 ET Summary With a move up to 91.5 in June, the Small Business Optimism Index has now risen in each of the past three months and is at the highest level of 2024. Even with recent improvements, the headline number still sits in the bottom 13% of its historical ra...
2024-07-09 13:36:57 ET Summary June inflation is expected to see a modest uptick from May, with headline CPI increasing by 0.1% m/m and core CPI by 0.2% m/m. Expectations for CPI swaps pricing in a 0.0% m/m change in headline CPI for June and a 3.1% y/y increase. Auto insuranc...
2024-07-09 11:00:00 ET Summary Recession risk has risen, but it’s still premature to confidently declare that a downturn has started. Conditions could deteriorate in the weeks ahead, but for the moment, slow/sluggish growth appears to be the odds-on favorite for the near-te...
2024-07-09 10:30:00 ET Summary Total construction spending rises to a new record with Residential, Public and Manufacturing posting higher levels while Power was lower. Spending on Manufacturing facilities has risen to 185% of August 2021, the sharpest rise in this series. The...
2024-07-09 09:30:00 ET Summary It has been surprising to look back since the start of 2024. Most Wall Street pros were conservative and projected we might see a 10-15% total return for all of 2024. Retail investors have been putting their investable assets into the market, with re...
2024-07-09 07:55:00 ET Summary Developed market central banks are starting to cut policy rates. U.S. stocks hit a fresh record high and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields slid last week after U.S. jobs data showed moderating wage growth. We watch the U.S. CPI data for June this week...
2024-07-09 07:05:00 ET Summary The dollar is consolidating in narrow ranges today against the G10 currencies and enjoys as slight upward bias against most emerging market currencies but for a few currencies from the Asia Pacific region. Asia Pacific equities rallied but for Hong K...
2024-07-09 03:04:00 ET Summary A more dovish Powell would help firm up the September cut expectations ahead of the CPI release due Thursday. Whereas in the US, we see the rate-cutting narrative picking up momentum; in the Eurozone, the direction is less evident. The 10Y B...
2024-07-09 02:05:00 ET Summary Last Wednesday, ADP announced that 150,000 new private payroll jobs were created in June, but those jobs were not very broad-based. ADP’s balanced jobs report, as usual, is probably closer to the truth than the more widely heralded Friday jobs...
2024-07-08 22:32:12 ET Summary Sentiment indicators strongly support our January forecast of an August top in the market. Investor sentiment drives stock prices more than economic data. The Master Sentiment Indicator, and four other sentiment indicators, all show extreme level...
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2024-07-14 15:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-04 17:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 05:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...