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2024-06-11 08:10:00 ET Summary We've been tracking a recession forecast model developed for the Federal Reserve Board by Jonathan Wright in 2006, which utilizes the U.S. Treasury yield curve as an input, while also factoring in the level of the Federal Fund Rate. In following mont...
2024-06-11 07:50:00 ET Summary More than a few individuals were active in the markets in 1999-2000, but many participants today were not. Today, the companies racing higher on Artificial Intelligence have actual revenues and income. The forced feeding of dollars into the large...
2024-06-11 07:30:00 ET Summary The US dollar is firm against all the G10 currencies, except for sterling. Most emerging market currencies are lower, including the Mexican peso, which has become unhinged amid heightened political uncertainty. European bonds, especially French b...
2024-06-11 04:46:01 ET Summary Cap-weighted S&P 500 index fund is not ideal for long-term investors seeking diversification due to concentration risk. Holding SPY ensures market returns, but sacrifices the potential for outperformance. Cap-weighting leads to concentration ...
2024-06-11 02:20:00 ET Summary As I have long said, the rest of the world is starting to cut rates in June – even if the Fed doesn’t follow suit. Since our Fed will now be lagging Europe in rate cuts, that means our rates will be higher, so “carry tradesȁ...
2024-06-10 22:15:00 ET Summary Because the stock market moved sharply and registered fresh all-time highs in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, many wonder if they have missed the boat. The issue is that we have three companies with $3 trillion (or very close to it) in market cap, and as...
2024-06-10 19:05:17 ET More on the markets Week Ahead: FOMC, BOJ, And U.S. And China Inflation J.P. Morgan’s Kolanovic says stocks appear to be ‘ignoring’ numerous risks Stocks end higher with Fed rate decision, CPI data lurking Buy These...
2024-06-10 17:40:58 ET It Is The Fed's Turn To Push Back Against The Market Yes, You Should Believe Your 'Lying Eyes' Don't Be Dazed And Confused By 272,000 Jobs Nasdaq, S&P, and Dow end higher with the Fed rate decision and CPI data lurking Apple unv...
2024-06-10 16:10:00 ET Summary We stay overweight U.S. stocks ahead of the election, yet are cautious on bonds given the fiscal outlook. We focus on long-term positives in India and Mexico. U.S. stocks notched fresh highs last week and are up nearly 13% this year. The Bank of Cana...
2024-06-10 15:10:00 ET Summary Over the last 15 years, both the size and duration profile of the Fed’s balance sheet have expanded meaningfully. The composition of the asset side of the Fed’s balance sheet offsets some of the intended tightening effects of higher pol...
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2024-07-11 21:00:00 ET It can be intimidating for anyone who is just starting investing . However, it doesn’t have to be that way. One of the best investors of our time, Warren Buffett , suggests a simple way for anyone to get started –investing in market-wide index ...
2024-07-03 08:30:00 ET If you've been a student of the market for any meaningful length of time, you've likely stumbled across advice to just buy and hold an S&P 500 index fund like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEMKT: SPY) . And it's a good tip. Not only is such a plan ...
2024-07-01 01:29:00 ET This article first appeared on our U.S. website and was written by Selena Maranjian. If you’ve been hearing a lot about semiconductor company Nvidia ( NASDAQ: NVDA ) in recent months and you’re not sure why, check out its retu...