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Summary Our previous TQQQ put idea was unsuccessful, but demonstrated the importance of margin of safety. A put option idea on TQQQ to generate up to 18.6% in premium yield as long as NASDAQ doesn't decline by more than -10% over the next year. The put idea will start to see losses ...
Summary Avoiding growth last year paid enormous dividends, but I didn’t predict that growth stocks would fall in 2022, just that I couldn’t own them and fulfill our fiduciary duty. Near-term stock market performance is negatively correlated with economic growth. Commod...
Summary Several estimates of fourth quarter economic activity for the US have turned higher recently. The odds that a recession has started, however, remain low, according to the current nowcast. Even if Q4 turns out to be stronger than some nowcasts suggest, headwinds are still blo...
Summary There seems to be a widespread view that employment is a lagging indicator of changes in the business cycle. The growth rate of payroll employment slowed sharply in the 6 months before the onset of recession. When there is no unexpected shock like Covid, it seems as though e...
Summary A table with the drifts of SDS and 21 other leveraged ETFs. Biotechnology leveraged ETFs have the worst monthly decay. The annual decay of SDS is close to zero on average, but it may be harmful for long periods of time. The ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 ETF ( ...
Summary At the close of Refinitiv Lipper’s fund-flows week, U.S. broad-based equity indices reported negative performance for the second week in three. The 10-two Treasury yield spread remained negative (-0.53), marking the one-hundred-and-twenty-second straight trading session w...
Summary I explain why most of my recommendations are holds though my articles often give reasons not to buy the investment discussed. I then review the 13 buy or sell recommendations I issued and report on how well they fared. Even my two recommendations that resulted in losses turn...
UltraPro QQQ ( NASDAQ: TQQQ ) - $0.0979 . Payable Dec 30; for shareholders of record Dec 23; ex-div Dec 22. For further details see: UltraPro QQQ declares quarterly distribution of $0.0979
Summary While the SPY is down 18.55% year-to-date, our Funds Macro Portfolio ("FMP") is up 6.76%. Year-to-date outperformance is now 25.31%, with FMP's standard deviation ~35% lower than that of SPY. Tech/Growth hedges (short $SOXL, $TQQQ) and high-grade, long-duration, bonds (long ...
Summary Cam Harvey, a professor at Duke University, downplays the risk of recession currently forecast by the negative spread of the 3-month yield less its 10-year counterpart. The yield curve (and its variations) still deserves to be on the short list of analytics for monitoring and fo...
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2024-07-29 10:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) fell 1.7% to $112.28 on volume of 455,296,152 shares Ford Motor Company (F) fell 18.4% to $11.16 on volume of 256,384,806 shares PROSHARES TRUST (SQQQ) rose 3.4% to $9.37 on volume of 246,885,889 shares Sel...
2024-07-06 10:18:00 ET The ProShares Ultra QQQ ETF (NASDAQ: TQQQ) has only been around for about 14 years, but it has already been a millionaire-making ETF. In fact, a $10,000 investment in 2010 would be worth more than $1.8 million today. Here's how it has done so well, and what in...