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2023-05-18 03:59:00 ET Summary There has been a lot of discussion in the media about whether the U.S. Federal Reserve can pull off a so-called soft-landing - cooling inflationary pressures without significantly hurting economic growth. The significantly restrictive monetary p...
2023-05-17 13:53:00 ET Summary Warnings that the US economy is close to the tipping point for recession have endured for months, but the expansion keeps surprising on the upside. More of the same is likely for the immediate future, and perhaps longer. Economists are debating why t...
2023-05-17 01:40:00 ET Summary We got two big data points on May 16th on the economy and both pointed to sluggish trends in growth. Retail sales and industrial production have a strong correlation with weak economic growth and both came in unusually weak last month. Industrial...
2023-05-16 16:30:00 ET Summary Federal Reserve tightening cycles, without exception, have been associated with financial crises. Tightening lending standards, which has historically led to an economic downturn, is raising the likelihood of a recession. The bank failures may ma...
2023-05-16 08:50:10 ET Summary Everyone looks at the lottery winner but no one hears about the millions who funded the winner. While positioning against overvaluation seems logical, inverse ETFs may not be the way for most. Betting against small caps is akin to betting against...
2023-05-13 09:13:00 ET Summary The shortest pauses in a 30-year period were the six months time-out in 1995 and the eight month wait-and-see in 2019. The pause periods that began in 1997 and 2006, by contrast, lasted more than a year. When the Greenspan Fed began raising rates...
2023-05-10 16:06:00 ET Summary Why a potential recession hasn't arrived yet and may not be as bad as expected? The latest corporate earnings haven't been strong, but are outperforming. Why many of last year's headwinds haven't materialized for markets? The la...
2023-05-10 01:05:00 ET Summary Economists have been forecasting a recession would happen since the Federal Reserve (Fed) started raising interest rates back in March 2022. The federal funds rate has risen almost 500 basis points since last year, as the Fed has aggressively attacke...
2023-05-09 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-05-09 02:25:00 ET Summary It's true that the Fed is very tight and the yield curve is very inverted - both being classical precursors to recessions in the past. While some observers note with concern the unprecedented decline in the M2 money supply over the past year, I view ...
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