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2023-06-02 22:30:00 ET Summary The service sector has historically kept the US economy afloat during manufacturing contractions, allowing for a "soft landing" scenario. The monetary conditions index suggests economic growth will pick up later this year, which could explain the sto...
2023-06-02 03:05:00 ET Summary Recessions are generally associated with lousy labor markets. Unlike many other countries, the US official (NBER) definition of recession does not involve two negative quarters, but lots of people wrongly believe it does. It will be interesting t...
2023-06-01 16:41:47 ET Summary I discuss the reasons why leveraged ETFs drift. A dashboard with 22 of them. The worst decays are in biotechnology and semiconductors ETFs. Lessons from ProShares UltraPro Dow30 ETF history. ProShares UltraPro Dow30 ETF (UDOW) i...
2023-05-24 10:45:00 ET Summary Rarely in the history of US economic analysis have recession forecasts been so plentiful and widely embraced. This week’s issue of the newsletter sent to subscribers continues to report a firmer reading of economic activity for the immediate f...
2023-05-22 10:30:00 ET Summary We’ve seen this movie before... gold did ok, but what about stocks? The last time we saw this preference for gold was 10 years ago. Why? Waiting for the last shoe to drop is not a recipe for market success. Markets are forward-loo...
2023-05-20 07:00:00 ET Summary In the US, recent growth has been positive, the labor market has been resilient, and inflation appears to have peaked. Despite current rosy macro data, many forecasters see two clouds on the horizon: recession and inflation. Acknowledging the goo...
2023-05-19 08:15:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-05-19 02:45:00 ET Summary Banks have been tightening their lending standards, and they plan to keep doing it throughout the rest of the year. The Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Lending Practices found that bankers expect a deteriorating economic picture in 2023, both f...
2023-05-18 14:13:00 ET Summary Choppy inflation environment may leave bonds range bound. Rate hikes in Canada & U.S. a possibility in June. Fixed income a potential option for riding out recession. With inflation remaining sticky and the potential for mor...
2023-05-18 03:59:00 ET Summary There has been a lot of discussion in the media about whether the U.S. Federal Reserve can pull off a so-called soft-landing - cooling inflationary pressures without significantly hurting economic growth. The significantly restrictive monetary p...
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