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The magnitude of the stimulus over the past year may be driving inflationary expectations. This, combined with potential synchronized global growth and supply constraints, may all serve as tailwinds for commodity producers. VanEck Commodity Strategist and Portfolio Manager Roland ...
We think that last year's US recession ended in June plus/minus one month, making it the shortest recession in US history. The latest data indicate that the recovery is well and truly intact. The ISM NOI leads Industrial Production (IP), so it isn't surprising that the year-over-year ...
While unnerving, the late-February surge in global bond yields was a game-changer for equity market leadership, with important implications for navigating the road ahead. The rebound in financials dates from last November when vaccine breakthroughs stoked hopes for the global economy ...
The reason why the Fed has not really signaled any concern about the spike in Treasury yields to 1.6% is that the Fed funds rate is anchored at 0-0.25% and any sell-off in the Treasury market expands net interest margins in the financial sector. The Fed wants a higher 10-year Treasury...
Industrial metals have been surging while precious metals like gold have been facing their fair share of selling. Industrial metals are up 11.43% while their precious metals counterpart is down by over 4%. Tin, copper, and nickel have been leading in those gains. For further...
With some $14 trillion invested in US equities alone, even a modest increase in passive investments into ETFs would reap significant rewards in fees. This new commodities super cycle proposition is based largely on a repeat of the last. Volatility in the current loose global monet...
On Wednesday, both copper and platinum rallied up to multi-year highs. Pollution-scrubbing devices require specialty metals to do the job - namely, platinum, palladium, and/or rhodium. Given the growing inflation risks from unprecedented government and Federal Reserve "stimulus" c...
Three-month tin price has hit $23,435 per metric ton. The consensus is the market could yet go higher. Economies outside of China are expected to pick up demand as vaccine programs pick up pace this spring and summer. For further details see: Tin Market In A Squeeze As S...
The commodity price rally experienced throughout much of the third quarter accelerated significantly in the last quarter of 2020. Renewable energy markets received massive confidence boosts from advancements in "green" initiatives. In a very welcome turnaround following a year mar...
Base metals rose 13.71% in Q4 and 15.74% in 2020. Copper leads the LME metals higher in Q4 and 2020. Double-digit percentage gains in copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, tin, and iron ore in Q4. Iron ore gains over 27.5% in Q4 and 72% in 2020. The BDI falls 17.6% in Q4 but is ...
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