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2023-05-06 02:00:00 ET Summary There is a thread running between the three crises being felt in the US right now. There are a number of indicators that we can track to help assess where we are and where we are likely to get to. The genesis of bank stresses in part reflects the...
2023-05-06 01:40:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to raise its target rate range by 25 basis points on Wednesday. The FOMC has increased its target rate ten times in the past fourteen months. The target rate range is now 5.0 to ...
2023-05-05 21:30:00 ET Summary Jay Powell couldn’t say outright that the Fed is done with raising rates, but he performed an exceptionally clear pantomime of saying exactly that during the post-FOMC press conference on Wednesday. Powell did sound reasonably upbeat about the...
2023-05-05 15:07:00 ET Summary With inflation still elevated and the labor market still “extraordinarily tight,” Fed chair Jerome Powell has kept the door slightly ajar for another hike. Markets had almost fully priced in a 25 bps rate increase, so the May 3rd decisi...
2023-05-05 12:05:59 ET Summary Wall Street expects the Fed to pause in June and subsequently to cut. However, the Fed will likely hike in June and July. The S&P 500 is very likely to sell off sharply in this environment. Let's all call for a recession now Eve...
2023-05-04 12:00:00 ET Summary What are bond markets telling us about future Fed policy? How does the Fed navigate the numerous crosscurrents in the financial markets and economy? What's the outlook on the US dollar? The U.S. Federal Reserve delivers another ...
2023-05-04 11:50:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for a 10th straight time on May 3, lifting its target by a 1/4-point to a 5.0%-to-5.25% range, the highest since 2007. Another pause and a cut are expected to be the most likely scenarios at the two FOMC meet...
2023-05-04 07:05:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve's latest meeting occurred on Wednesday and, as expected, the Fed raised the benchmark Fed funds rate by 25 bps. Given the recent banking stress, many had speculated the Fed would explicitly signal a pause, but it instead shrewdly ...
2023-05-04 04:36:12 ET Summary Today's 25 basis point rate hike was largely anticipated. Jay Powell's post-decision press conference was relatively dovish. The sell-off in stocks and the drop in rates that took place after the Fed's decision reflect fears about bank profitabil...
2023-05-04 04:15:00 ET Summary The Fed did what was discounted, and the challenge now is to prevent market expectations for cuts from going too deep. We find that low inflation breakevens support cuts, and we still expect these in 4Q. The ECB tightening cycle will continue aft...
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2024-05-28 18:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 06:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...