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2024-01-25 07:30:00 ET Summary The US dollar is trading mostly quietly in narrow ranges against the G10 currencies ahead of the ECB's President Lagarde's press conference. Most of the emerging market currencies are a little firmer, but not the Mexican peso or Chinese yuan. The...
2024-01-25 02:30:00 ET Summary While treasury rates, across maturities, jumped dramatically in 2022, their behavior diverged in 2023. The yield curve has been inverted for all of 2023, in all of its variations. If inflation continues its downward path, it is likely that we wil...
2024-01-25 02:18:00 ET Summary There will be a lot of firsts for the economic history books if this business cycle can survive a labor market slowdown, 525 basis points (bps) of rate hikes and an extremely inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve. But the dovish shift from the U.S. Federal ...
2024-01-25 00:10:00 ET Summary Strong growth doesn't cause inflation, and reducing inflation doesn't require a recession. Inflation is the result of an imbalance in the supply and the demand for money. Bringing down inflation requires that the Fed address this imbalance, typically...
2024-01-24 11:46:47 ET Summary Federal Reserve continues quantitative tightening despite market conditions. Securities holdings reduced by $1,332.4 trillion since March 2022. Current securities holdings amount to $7,158.1 billion as of January 17, 2024. Regardless of...
2024-01-24 07:00:00 ET Summary After a strong showing yesterday, the dollar was sold in Asia and Europe. The dollar's decline has stretched intraday momentum indicators. The PBOC announced a 50 bp cut in reserve requirements, effective early next month. The eurozone's Janu...
2024-01-22 15:40:00 ET Summary The General Business Conditions index fell to -43.7, a depth only exceeded by the -78.2 reading in April of 2020 with the economy shut down for COVID. New orders (-49.4 vs -11.3) and shipments (-31.3 vs -6.4) also posted sharp declines and unfilled o...
2024-01-22 07:45:00 ET Summary The dollar is mostly +/- 0.10% against most of the G10 currencies, with the Swedish krona being a notable exception, rising about 0.25% against the US dollar amid good demand for its bonds today. EM currencies are mostly lower, with the Taiwanese dol...
2024-01-20 08:30:00 ET Summary The week ahead features the first estimate of US Q4 GDP, which will be revised for the next couple of years. It also features policy meetings by the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Canada, and Norges Bank, Norway's central bank....
2024-01-20 01:10:00 ET Summary So close, and then so far. That was the story of the Treasury yield curve last October, when the 10-year yield briefly touched a decades-long high of five percent. As has become the norm, the bond market took whatever the Fed said and doubled down. ...
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2024-07-09 08:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-28 19:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...